Recent forecasts from the Met Office and major models indicate a high-pressure system building over southern England, bringing settled conditions, light winds, and mostly clear skies to London on September 21. This setup supports daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, positioning maximum temperatures around 22–23 °C, consistent with market-implied probabilities of 45.5% for 23 °C and 31.5% for 22 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs reaching 24 °C under optimal insolation, reflected in the 15.5% odds. Historical September baselines near 19–20 °C underscore the above-average warmth driven by the current synoptic pattern, though final readings depend on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing in the hours before peak heating. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on September 21?
Highest temperature in London on September 21?
23°C 45%
22°C 28%
24°C 21%
25°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
28%
23°C
45%
24°C
21%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
22°C 28%
24°C 21%
25°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
$146 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$25 Wol.
1%
20°C
$70 Wol.
3%
21°C
$129 Wol.
6%
22°C
$754 Wol.
28%
23°C
$887 Wol.
45%
24°C
$562 Wol.
21%
25°C
$189 Wol.
6%
26°C
$0 Wol.
3%
27°C
$0 Wol.
2%
28°C or higher
$171 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and major models indicate a high-pressure system building over southern England, bringing settled conditions, light winds, and mostly clear skies to London on September 21. This setup supports daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, positioning maximum temperatures around 22–23 °C, consistent with market-implied probabilities of 45.5% for 23 °C and 31.5% for 22 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs reaching 24 °C under optimal insolation, reflected in the 15.5% odds. Historical September baselines near 19–20 °C underscore the above-average warmth driven by the current synoptic pattern, though final readings depend on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing in the hours before peak heating. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,932Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and major models indicate a high-pressure system building over southern England, bringing settled conditions, light winds, and mostly clear skies to London on September 21. This setup supports daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, positioning maximum temperatures around 22–23 °C, consistent with market-implied probabilities of 45.5% for 23 °C and 31.5% for 22 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs reaching 24 °C under optimal insolation, reflected in the 15.5% odds. Historical September baselines near 19–20 °C underscore the above-average warmth driven by the current synoptic pattern, though final readings depend on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing in the hours before peak heating. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,932Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and major models indicate a high-pressure system building over southern England, bringing settled conditions, light winds, and mostly clear skies to London on September 21. This setup supports daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, positioning maximum temperatures around 22–23 °C, consistent with market-implied probabilities of 45.5% for 23 °C and 31.5% for 22 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs reaching 24 °C under optimal insolation, reflected in the 15.5% odds. Historical September baselines near 19–20 °C underscore the above-average warmth driven by the current synoptic pattern, though final readings depend on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing in the hours before peak heating. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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