Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston project a Saturday high near 94–96°F under sunny skies with light easterly winds and negligible precipitation chances, driven by stable high pressure and typical late-summer Gulf moisture. These conditions align with climatological September averages of 90–93°F while allowing modest afternoon warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66% implied probability for 92–93°F, appears to balance model runs showing slight cooling from prior days against uncertainty in exact peak timing and urban heat effects. Official updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office ahead of resolution will likely refine the range, as small shifts in dew points or cloud cover can alter the daily maximum by 1–3°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on September 19?
92-93°F 66%
90-91°F 26%
94-95°F 8%
96-97°F <1%
$11,599 Wol.
$11,599 Wol.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
66%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 66%
90-91°F 26%
94-95°F 8%
96-97°F <1%
$11,599 Wol.
$11,599 Wol.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
66%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston project a Saturday high near 94–96°F under sunny skies with light easterly winds and negligible precipitation chances, driven by stable high pressure and typical late-summer Gulf moisture. These conditions align with climatological September averages of 90–93°F while allowing modest afternoon warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66% implied probability for 92–93°F, appears to balance model runs showing slight cooling from prior days against uncertainty in exact peak timing and urban heat effects. Official updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office ahead of resolution will likely refine the range, as small shifts in dew points or cloud cover can alter the daily maximum by 1–3°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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