Traders assign a 97.8% implied probability that the Federal Reserve will not be abolished before 2027 because the institution remains deeply entrenched through the Federal Reserve Act and enjoys broad institutional and bipartisan support in Congress. Recent Supreme Court rulings have further underscored its distinct independence from executive removal powers, while legislative proposals such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act introduced in 2025 have seen no meaningful progress. Ongoing policy reviews, including task forces on balance sheet reduction and monetary frameworks under Chair Kevin Warsh, focus on incremental reforms rather than dissolution. Realistic scenarios that could still alter these odds include a severe economic crisis or unexpected congressional majorities capable of advancing repeal legislation within the narrow remaining window.