Traders assign a 95.3% implied probability to the Federal Reserve remaining intact through 2027 because abolition would require repealing the 1913 Federal Reserve Act via legislation that has repeatedly stalled in committee, most recently with the 2025 Massie-Lee bills showing no advancement amid divided congressional priorities. The Fed's entrenched role in monetary policy, Treasury market operations, and financial stability continues without disruption, as evidenced by ongoing regulatory proposals and steady policy rates near 3.50-3.75%. While tail risks such as an unforeseen constitutional crisis or radical legislative shift could theoretically alter the path, the absence of sustained momentum or broad bipartisan backing keeps market-implied odds firmly anchored near certainty against near-term dissolution.