Canada’s monthly GDP by industry posted a preliminary advance estimate of essentially flat growth in July 2026, following a revised 0.3% increase in June, positioning the 0.0–0.1% outcome as the clear market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Offsetting gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were declines in retail trade and manufacturing, consistent with July merchandise trade data showing exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus. Second-quarter GDP expanded 0.8% annualized, but the advance July reading signals a softer start to the third quarter ahead of the official Statistics Canada release on September 29.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCanada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
0.0 to 0.1% 56%
0.2 to 0.3% 21%
<0.0% 17%
0.4 to 0.5% <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 29, 2026
<0.0%
17%
0.0 to 0.1%
56%
0.2 to 0.3%
21%
0.4 to 0.5%
<1%
0.6 to 0.7%
<1%
0.8%+
<1%
0.0 to 0.1% 56%
0.2 to 0.3% 21%
<0.0% 17%
0.4 to 0.5% <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 29, 2026
<0.0%
$1,766 Wol.
17%
0.0 to 0.1%
$1,079 Wol.
56%
0.2 to 0.3%
$2,385 Wol.
21%
0.4 to 0.5%
$1,344 Wol.
<1%
0.6 to 0.7%
$345 Wol.
<1%
0.8%+
$1,402 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s monthly GDP by industry posted a preliminary advance estimate of essentially flat growth in July 2026, following a revised 0.3% increase in June, positioning the 0.0–0.1% outcome as the clear market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Offsetting gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were declines in retail trade and manufacturing, consistent with July merchandise trade data showing exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus. Second-quarter GDP expanded 0.8% annualized, but the advance July reading signals a softer start to the third quarter ahead of the official Statistics Canada release on September 29.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,322Data zakończenia
Sep 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s monthly GDP by industry posted a preliminary advance estimate of essentially flat growth in July 2026, following a revised 0.3% increase in June, positioning the 0.0–0.1% outcome as the clear market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Offsetting gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were declines in retail trade and manufacturing, consistent with July merchandise trade data showing exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus. Second-quarter GDP expanded 0.8% annualized, but the advance July reading signals a softer start to the third quarter ahead of the official Statistics Canada release on September 29.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Wolumen
$8,322Data zakończenia
Sep 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Canada’s monthly GDP by industry posted a preliminary advance estimate of essentially flat growth in July 2026, following a revised 0.3% increase in June, positioning the 0.0–0.1% outcome as the clear market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Offsetting gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were declines in retail trade and manufacturing, consistent with July merchandise trade data showing exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus. Second-quarter GDP expanded 0.8% annualized, but the advance July reading signals a softer start to the third quarter ahead of the official Statistics Canada release on September 29.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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