Becerra and Hilton advanced from California's June top-two primary to face off in November, with the Democrat holding a consistent but variable lead rooted in the state's heavy Democratic registration edge and strong partisan loyalty. Recent polls, including Berkeley IGS surveys, show Becerra ahead by roughly 18 points on average among likely voters, though one August poll narrowed the gap to single digits amid undecideds and shifting independent support. Hilton has consolidated Republican voters following endorsements and appeals on taxes, housing affordability, and energy costs, while Becerra emphasizes experience in state and federal roles. Trader pricing across margin buckets reflects uncertainty over turnout, debate performance, and late-cycle economic signals that could widen or compress the final spread before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCalifornia Governor Election Margin of Victory
California Governor Election Margin of Victory
Becerra 40%+ 24%
Hilton Wins 21%
Becerra 15-20% 20%
Becerra 10-15% 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Becerra 40%+
24%
Becerra 35-40%
7%
Becerra 30-35%
17%
Becerra 25-30%
8%
Becerra 20-25%
19%
Becerra 15-20%
12%
Becerra 10-15%
20%
Becerra 0-10%
18%
Hilton Wins
21%
Becerra 40%+ 24%
Hilton Wins 21%
Becerra 15-20% 20%
Becerra 10-15% 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Becerra 40%+
$56 Wol.
24%
Becerra 35-40%
$41 Wol.
7%
Becerra 30-35%
$32 Wol.
17%
Becerra 25-30%
$32 Wol.
8%
Becerra 20-25%
$41 Wol.
19%
Becerra 15-20%
$51 Wol.
12%
Becerra 10-15%
$46 Wol.
20%
Becerra 0-10%
$36 Wol.
18%
Hilton Wins
$41 Wol.
21%
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Becerra and Hilton advanced from California's June top-two primary to face off in November, with the Democrat holding a consistent but variable lead rooted in the state's heavy Democratic registration edge and strong partisan loyalty. Recent polls, including Berkeley IGS surveys, show Becerra ahead by roughly 18 points on average among likely voters, though one August poll narrowed the gap to single digits amid undecideds and shifting independent support. Hilton has consolidated Republican voters following endorsements and appeals on taxes, housing affordability, and energy costs, while Becerra emphasizes experience in state and federal roles. Trader pricing across margin buckets reflects uncertainty over turnout, debate performance, and late-cycle economic signals that could widen or compress the final spread before Election Day.
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$376Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Becerra and Hilton advanced from California's June top-two primary to face off in November, with the Democrat holding a consistent but variable lead rooted in the state's heavy Democratic registration edge and strong partisan loyalty. Recent polls, including Berkeley IGS surveys, show Becerra ahead by roughly 18 points on average among likely voters, though one August poll narrowed the gap to single digits amid undecideds and shifting independent support. Hilton has consolidated Republican voters following endorsements and appeals on taxes, housing affordability, and energy costs, while Becerra emphasizes experience in state and federal roles. Trader pricing across margin buckets reflects uncertainty over turnout, debate performance, and late-cycle economic signals that could widen or compress the final spread before Election Day.
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$376Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Becerra and Hilton advanced from California's June top-two primary to face off in November, with the Democrat holding a consistent but variable lead rooted in the state's heavy Democratic registration edge and strong partisan loyalty. Recent polls, including Berkeley IGS surveys, show Becerra ahead by roughly 18 points on average among likely voters, though one August poll narrowed the gap to single digits amid undecideds and shifting independent support. Hilton has consolidated Republican voters following endorsements and appeals on taxes, housing affordability, and energy costs, while Becerra emphasizes experience in state and federal roles. Trader pricing across margin buckets reflects uncertainty over turnout, debate performance, and late-cycle economic signals that could widen or compress the final spread before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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