China's July CPI rose just 0.5% year-on-year, the lowest reading since January and below consensus, reflecting continued food deflation and softer non-food prices amid subdued domestic demand. Analysts expect the August print to edge higher to around 0.7%, citing seasonal vegetable price gains from weather disruptions, stabilizing pork prices, and favorable base effects, though weak consumption and excess manufacturing capacity continue to limit broader momentum. Core inflation has held near 0.9%, supported by select service categories, while producer prices eased in July. Trader positioning around 0.7%-0.8% as the modal outcome reflects these near-term dynamics ahead of the National Bureau of Statistics release, with lower bands priced for limited upside if demand pressures persist.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAugust Inflation China - Annual
August Inflation China - Annual
0.7% - 0.8% 43%
0.5% - 0.6% 30%
0.9%+ 20.1%
0.3% - 0.4% 10.5%
$26,902 Wol.
$26,902 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
2%
0.3% - 0.4%
10%
0.5% - 0.6%
30%
0.7% - 0.8%
43%
0.9%+
20%
0.7% - 0.8% 43%
0.5% - 0.6% 30%
0.9%+ 20.1%
0.3% - 0.4% 10.5%
$26,902 Wol.
$26,902 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
$922 Wol.
2%
0.3% - 0.4%
$1,541 Wol.
10%
0.5% - 0.6%
$10,132 Wol.
30%
0.7% - 0.8%
$11,494 Wol.
43%
0.9%+
$2,812 Wol.
20%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China's July CPI rose just 0.5% year-on-year, the lowest reading since January and below consensus, reflecting continued food deflation and softer non-food prices amid subdued domestic demand. Analysts expect the August print to edge higher to around 0.7%, citing seasonal vegetable price gains from weather disruptions, stabilizing pork prices, and favorable base effects, though weak consumption and excess manufacturing capacity continue to limit broader momentum. Core inflation has held near 0.9%, supported by select service categories, while producer prices eased in July. Trader positioning around 0.7%-0.8% as the modal outcome reflects these near-term dynamics ahead of the National Bureau of Statistics release, with lower bands priced for limited upside if demand pressures persist.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$26,902Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China's July CPI rose just 0.5% year-on-year, the lowest reading since January and below consensus, reflecting continued food deflation and softer non-food prices amid subdued domestic demand. Analysts expect the August print to edge higher to around 0.7%, citing seasonal vegetable price gains from weather disruptions, stabilizing pork prices, and favorable base effects, though weak consumption and excess manufacturing capacity continue to limit broader momentum. Core inflation has held near 0.9%, supported by select service categories, while producer prices eased in July. Trader positioning around 0.7%-0.8% as the modal outcome reflects these near-term dynamics ahead of the National Bureau of Statistics release, with lower bands priced for limited upside if demand pressures persist.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Wolumen
$26,902Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...China's July CPI rose just 0.5% year-on-year, the lowest reading since January and below consensus, reflecting continued food deflation and softer non-food prices amid subdued domestic demand. Analysts expect the August print to edge higher to around 0.7%, citing seasonal vegetable price gains from weather disruptions, stabilizing pork prices, and favorable base effects, though weak consumption and excess manufacturing capacity continue to limit broader momentum. Core inflation has held near 0.9%, supported by select service categories, while producer prices eased in July. Trader positioning around 0.7%-0.8% as the modal outcome reflects these near-term dynamics ahead of the National Bureau of Statistics release, with lower bands priced for limited upside if demand pressures persist.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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