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icon for Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout
Polityka·Rozjazd

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout
Polityka·Rozjazd

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

750K-825K 29%

825K-900K 21%

900K-975K 17%

600K-675K 15.8%

Polymarket
NOWE

750K-825K 29%

825K-900K 21%

900K-975K 17%

600K-675K 15.8%

Polymarket
NOWE

<600K

$119 Wol.

11%

600K-675K

$49 Wol.

16%

675K-750K

$139 Wol.

11%

750K-825K

$94 Wol.

21%

825K-900K

$69 Wol.

21%

900K-975K

$70 Wol.

17%

975K-1.05M

$62 Wol.

12%

1.05M+

$138 Wol.

30%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Arkansas's 2026 U.S. Senate race features incumbent Republican Tom Cotton facing Democrat Hallie Shoffner in a contest rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters.** With primaries completed in March and limited general-election competitiveness, trader consensus assigns the highest probability to turnout exceeding 1.05 million votes, followed closely by the 750K-900K ranges. This positioning reflects Arkansas's deep-red baseline, where Republican base mobilization typically drives midterm participation even without a tight contest, tempered by historically lower off-year engagement compared to presidential cycles. Recent polling shows Cotton maintaining double-digit leads, reducing urgency for both sides and supporting moderate rather than record turnout. No major late-breaking events have altered this outlook since the primaries, leaving expectations anchored to standard midterm patterns and the state's registered voter pool.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$738
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Arkansas's 2026 U.S. Senate race features incumbent Republican Tom Cotton facing Democrat Hallie Shoffner in a contest rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters.** With primaries completed in March and limited general-election competitiveness, trader consensus assigns the highest probability to turnout exceeding 1.05 million votes, followed closely by the 750K-900K ranges. This positioning reflects Arkansas's deep-red baseline, where Republican base mobilization typically drives midterm participation even without a tight contest, tempered by historically lower off-year engagement compared to presidential cycles. Recent polling shows Cotton maintaining double-digit leads, reducing urgency for both sides and supporting moderate rather than record turnout. No major late-breaking events have altered this outlook since the primaries, leaving expectations anchored to standard midterm patterns and the state's registered voter pool.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$738
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "1.05M+" z 30%, za nim "750K-825K" z 21%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 30¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 30% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 18, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout" jest "1.05M+" z 30%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 30% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "750K-825K" z 21%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.