Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden secured his party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 5th congressional district, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett prevailed in the May Democratic runoff. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and has consistently supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including strong showings for Donald Trump in 2024. These structural factors, combined with Gooden's established fundraising advantage and the broader Republican tilt of Texas's congressional map following 2025 redistricting, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With the November general election still months away, limited polling or campaign activity has emerged to suggest any meaningful shift in the race's partisan dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,409 거래량
$14,409 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
10%
$14,409 거래량
$14,409 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,561 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$5,848 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden secured his party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 5th congressional district, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett prevailed in the May Democratic runoff. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and has consistently supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including strong showings for Donald Trump in 2024. These structural factors, combined with Gooden's established fundraising advantage and the broader Republican tilt of Texas's congressional map following 2025 redistricting, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With the November general election still months away, limited polling or campaign activity has emerged to suggest any meaningful shift in the race's partisan dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$14,409종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden secured his party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 5th congressional district, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett prevailed in the May Democratic runoff. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and has consistently supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including strong showings for Donald Trump in 2024. These structural factors, combined with Gooden's established fundraising advantage and the broader Republican tilt of Texas's congressional map following 2025 redistricting, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With the November general election still months away, limited polling or campaign activity has emerged to suggest any meaningful shift in the race's partisan dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,409종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden secured his party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 5th congressional district, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett prevailed in the May Democratic runoff. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and has consistently supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including strong showings for Donald Trump in 2024. These structural factors, combined with Gooden's established fundraising advantage and the broader Republican tilt of Texas's congressional map following 2025 redistricting, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With the November general election still months away, limited polling or campaign activity has emerged to suggest any meaningful shift in the race's partisan dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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