Redistricting approved in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 partisan voting index, prompting former Rep. Julie Johnson to seek another district and creating an open race. Republicans conducted a crowded March 2026 primary featuring nine candidates, with Jace Yarbrough advancing as nominee after his runoff opponent withdrew; the move followed a Trump endorsement and aligned with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrats nominated Dan Barrios in their primary. With the November 3 general election still months away and few subsequent developments, trader consensus reflected in the current odds centers on the revised district composition and Republican primary resolution as primary drivers of positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,403 거래량
$26,403 거래량
2026.11.04
공화당
60%
민주당
28%
$26,403 거래량
$26,403 거래량
2026.11.04
공화당
$26,010 거래량
60%
민주당
$408 거래량
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 partisan voting index, prompting former Rep. Julie Johnson to seek another district and creating an open race. Republicans conducted a crowded March 2026 primary featuring nine candidates, with Jace Yarbrough advancing as nominee after his runoff opponent withdrew; the move followed a Trump endorsement and aligned with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrats nominated Dan Barrios in their primary. With the November 3 general election still months away and few subsequent developments, trader consensus reflected in the current odds centers on the revised district composition and Republican primary resolution as primary drivers of positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$26,403종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 partisan voting index, prompting former Rep. Julie Johnson to seek another district and creating an open race. Republicans conducted a crowded March 2026 primary featuring nine candidates, with Jace Yarbrough advancing as nominee after his runoff opponent withdrew; the move followed a Trump endorsement and aligned with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrats nominated Dan Barrios in their primary. With the November 3 general election still months away and few subsequent developments, trader consensus reflected in the current odds centers on the revised district composition and Republican primary resolution as primary drivers of positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,403종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 partisan voting index, prompting former Rep. Julie Johnson to seek another district and creating an open race. Republicans conducted a crowded March 2026 primary featuring nine candidates, with Jace Yarbrough advancing as nominee after his runoff opponent withdrew; the move followed a Trump endorsement and aligned with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrats nominated Dan Barrios in their primary. With the November 3 general election still months away and few subsequent developments, trader consensus reflected in the current odds centers on the revised district composition and Republican primary resolution as primary drivers of positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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