California's 50th congressional district features strong structural advantages for Democrats in the 2026 cycle, including new maps enacted through Proposition 50 that increased the area's Democratic lean and a Cook Partisan Voting Index reflecting consistent partisan advantage. Incumbent Scott Peters secured the top spot in the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, advancing to face Republican Steve Cohen in November. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting Peters' established fundraising, name recognition, and alignment with the district's voter base. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee given these fundamentals and limited recent polling volatility. A Democratic victory could still face disruption from late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$39,414 거래량
$39,414 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
7%
$39,414 거래량
$39,414 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$24,040 거래량
94%
공화당
$15,374 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 50th congressional district features strong structural advantages for Democrats in the 2026 cycle, including new maps enacted through Proposition 50 that increased the area's Democratic lean and a Cook Partisan Voting Index reflecting consistent partisan advantage. Incumbent Scott Peters secured the top spot in the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, advancing to face Republican Steve Cohen in November. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting Peters' established fundraising, name recognition, and alignment with the district's voter base. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee given these fundamentals and limited recent polling volatility. A Democratic victory could still face disruption from late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$39,414종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 50th congressional district features strong structural advantages for Democrats in the 2026 cycle, including new maps enacted through Proposition 50 that increased the area's Democratic lean and a Cook Partisan Voting Index reflecting consistent partisan advantage. Incumbent Scott Peters secured the top spot in the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, advancing to face Republican Steve Cohen in November. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting Peters' established fundraising, name recognition, and alignment with the district's voter base. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee given these fundamentals and limited recent polling volatility. A Democratic victory could still face disruption from late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$39,414종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 50th congressional district features strong structural advantages for Democrats in the 2026 cycle, including new maps enacted through Proposition 50 that increased the area's Democratic lean and a Cook Partisan Voting Index reflecting consistent partisan advantage. Incumbent Scott Peters secured the top spot in the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, advancing to face Republican Steve Cohen in November. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting Peters' established fundraising, name recognition, and alignment with the district's voter base. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee given these fundamentals and limited recent polling volatility. A Democratic victory could still face disruption from late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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