President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$376,938 Vol.
2026/07/31
7月7日
1%
7月22日
99%
7月23日
88%
7月24日
87%
7月25日
90%
7月26日
85%
7月27日
89%
7月28日
89%
7月29日
89%
7月30日
88%
7月31日
90%
$376,938 Vol.
7月7日
$20,122 Vol.
1%
7月22日
$6,661 Vol.
99%
7月23日
$3,808 Vol.
88%
7月24日
$4,708 Vol.
87%
7月25日
$2,796 Vol.
90%
7月26日
$1,275 Vol.
85%
7月27日
$1,458 Vol.
89%
7月28日
$5,510 Vol.
89%
7月29日
$2,666 Vol.
89%
7月30日
$2,529 Vol.
88%
7月31日
$2,203 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ET
音量
$376,938終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$376,938終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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