Phoebe Gates faces intense scrutiny over allegations that her AI shopping app Phia engaged in "cookie stuffing," a practice of misattributing affiliate sales, with recent Bloomberg reporting citing internal messages suggesting awareness since late 2025. Despite tabloid speculation about potential federal wire fraud charges carrying stiff penalties, no criminal complaints or indictments have been filed as of mid-August 2026. Trader consensus at 93.5% for no arrest by September 30 reflects the brief timeline and typical pace of white-collar investigations, which prioritize evidence gathering over rapid action. Civil suits or regulatory scrutiny remain more plausible near-term outcomes than an arrest. An unexpected fast-track probe by authorities could shift momentum, though historical patterns in similar tech cases show prolonged reviews rather than swift enforcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フィービー・ゲイツは9月30日までに逮捕されますか？
フィービー・ゲイツは9月30日までに逮捕されますか？
はい
7% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
はい
7% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Phoebe Gates is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Phoebe Gates is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Phoebe Gates is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Phoebe Gates is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Phoebe Gates is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Phoebe Gates being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Phoebe Gates faces intense scrutiny over allegations that her AI shopping app Phia engaged in "cookie stuffing," a practice of misattributing affiliate sales, with recent Bloomberg reporting citing internal messages suggesting awareness since late 2025. Despite tabloid speculation about potential federal wire fraud charges carrying stiff penalties, no criminal complaints or indictments have been filed as of mid-August 2026. Trader consensus at 93.5% for no arrest by September 30 reflects the brief timeline and typical pace of white-collar investigations, which prioritize evidence gathering over rapid action. Civil suits or regulatory scrutiny remain more plausible near-term outcomes than an arrest. An unexpected fast-track probe by authorities could shift momentum, though historical patterns in similar tech cases show prolonged reviews rather than swift enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Phoebe Gates is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Phoebe Gates is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Phoebe Gates is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Phoebe Gates is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Phoebe Gates is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Phoebe Gates being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Phoebe Gates is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Phoebe Gates is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Phoebe Gates is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Phoebe Gates is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Phoebe Gates is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Phoebe Gates being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
音量
$11終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 2:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Phoebe Gates is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Phoebe Gates is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Phoebe Gates is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Phoebe Gates is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Phoebe Gates is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Phoebe Gates being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Phoebe Gates faces intense scrutiny over allegations that her AI shopping app Phia engaged in "cookie stuffing," a practice of misattributing affiliate sales, with recent Bloomberg reporting citing internal messages suggesting awareness since late 2025. Despite tabloid speculation about potential federal wire fraud charges carrying stiff penalties, no criminal complaints or indictments have been filed as of mid-August 2026. Trader consensus at 93.5% for no arrest by September 30 reflects the brief timeline and typical pace of white-collar investigations, which prioritize evidence gathering over rapid action. Civil suits or regulatory scrutiny remain more plausible near-term outcomes than an arrest. An unexpected fast-track probe by authorities could shift momentum, though historical patterns in similar tech cases show prolonged reviews rather than swift enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Phoebe Gates is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Phoebe Gates is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Phoebe Gates is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Phoebe Gates is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Phoebe Gates is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Phoebe Gates being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Phoebe Gates is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Phoebe Gates is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Phoebe Gates is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Phoebe Gates is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Phoebe Gates is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Phoebe Gates being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$11終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 2:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Phoebe Gates faces intense scrutiny over allegations that her AI shopping app Phia engaged in "cookie stuffing," a practice of misattributing affiliate sales, with recent Bloomberg reporting citing internal messages suggesting awareness since late 2025. Despite tabloid speculation about potential federal wire fraud charges carrying stiff penalties, no criminal complaints or indictments have been filed as of mid-August 2026. Trader consensus at 93.5% for no arrest by September 30 reflects the brief timeline and typical pace of white-collar investigations, which prioritize evidence gathering over rapid action. Civil suits or regulatory scrutiny remain more plausible near-term outcomes than an arrest. An unexpected fast-track probe by authorities could shift momentum, though historical patterns in similar tech cases show prolonged reviews rather than swift enforcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問