The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel under the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with Israel filing its counter-memorial in March 2026 and the court setting South Africa’s reply deadline for November 2027 plus Israel’s rejoinder for May 2029. No merits hearing or final judgment on genocide has occurred, consistent with the ICJ’s typical multi-year timeline for such disputes. The ICC continues its separate investigation into war crimes and crimes against humanity, with arrest warrants against Israeli officials remaining in force but not extending to genocide charges. These procedural realities and extended deadlines underpin trader consensus that a binding court finding of genocide by the 2027 cutoff remains improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$91,457 Vol.
$91,457 Vol.
2027/12/31
$91,457 Vol.
$91,457 Vol.
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel under the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with Israel filing its counter-memorial in March 2026 and the court setting South Africa’s reply deadline for November 2027 plus Israel’s rejoinder for May 2029. No merits hearing or final judgment on genocide has occurred, consistent with the ICJ’s typical multi-year timeline for such disputes. The ICC continues its separate investigation into war crimes and crimes against humanity, with arrest warrants against Israeli officials remaining in force but not extending to genocide charges. These procedural realities and extended deadlines underpin trader consensus that a binding court finding of genocide by the 2027 cutoff remains improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
音量
$91,457終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel under the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with Israel filing its counter-memorial in March 2026 and the court setting South Africa’s reply deadline for November 2027 plus Israel’s rejoinder for May 2029. No merits hearing or final judgment on genocide has occurred, consistent with the ICJ’s typical multi-year timeline for such disputes. The ICC continues its separate investigation into war crimes and crimes against humanity, with arrest warrants against Israeli officials remaining in force but not extending to genocide charges. These procedural realities and extended deadlines underpin trader consensus that a binding court finding of genocide by the 2027 cutoff remains improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$91,457終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel under the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with Israel filing its counter-memorial in March 2026 and the court setting South Africa’s reply deadline for November 2027 plus Israel’s rejoinder for May 2029. No merits hearing or final judgment on genocide has occurred, consistent with the ICJ’s typical multi-year timeline for such disputes. The ICC continues its separate investigation into war crimes and crimes against humanity, with arrest warrants against Israeli officials remaining in force but not extending to genocide charges. These procedural realities and extended deadlines underpin trader consensus that a binding court finding of genocide by the 2027 cutoff remains improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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