**Elevated housing inventory and mortgage rates near 6.5–7% remain the dominant forces anchoring Austin metro median home values near recent levels.** August 2026 Realtor.com data placed median listing prices at $450,000, down nearly 10% year-over-year, while Unlock MLS reported a July median sale price of $435,000. Persistent supply—5+ months of inventory, widespread price cuts, and 12,000-plus active listings—continues to outpace absorption despite solid job growth and net migration. With only three weeks until September 30 resolution and no major near-term catalysts, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes below $446,000 as trader consensus reflects the ongoing correction from the 2022 peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$446K未満 87%
$446K～$454K 5.8%
$454K - $462K 5.7%
$470K - $478K 3.0%
$93,728 Vol.
$93,728 Vol.
2026/09/29
$446K未満
87%
$446K～$454K
6%
$454K - $462K
6%
$462K - $470K
1%
$470K - $478K
3%
$478K～$486K
1%
48万6,000ドル以上
1%
$446K未満 87%
$446K～$454K 5.8%
$454K - $462K 5.7%
$470K - $478K 3.0%
$93,728 Vol.
$93,728 Vol.
2026/09/29
$446K未満
$35,099 Vol.
87%
$446K～$454K
$16,894 Vol.
6%
$454K - $462K
$7,675 Vol.
6%
$462K - $470K
$6,093 Vol.
1%
$470K - $478K
$12,821 Vol.
3%
$478K～$486K
$5,189 Vol.
1%
48万6,000ドル以上
$9,957 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)**Elevated housing inventory and mortgage rates near 6.5–7% remain the dominant forces anchoring Austin metro median home values near recent levels.** August 2026 Realtor.com data placed median listing prices at $450,000, down nearly 10% year-over-year, while Unlock MLS reported a July median sale price of $435,000. Persistent supply—5+ months of inventory, widespread price cuts, and 12,000-plus active listings—continues to outpace absorption despite solid job growth and net migration. With only three weeks until September 30 resolution and no major near-term catalysts, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes below $446,000 as trader consensus reflects the ongoing correction from the 2022 peak.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
音量
$93,728終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)**Elevated housing inventory and mortgage rates near 6.5–7% remain the dominant forces anchoring Austin metro median home values near recent levels.** August 2026 Realtor.com data placed median listing prices at $450,000, down nearly 10% year-over-year, while Unlock MLS reported a July median sale price of $435,000. Persistent supply—5+ months of inventory, widespread price cuts, and 12,000-plus active listings—continues to outpace absorption despite solid job growth and net migration. With only three weeks until September 30 resolution and no major near-term catalysts, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes below $446,000 as trader consensus reflects the ongoing correction from the 2022 peak.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
音量
$93,728終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated housing inventory and mortgage rates near 6.5–7% remain the dominant forces anchoring Austin metro median home values near recent levels.** August 2026 Realtor.com data placed median listing prices at $450,000, down nearly 10% year-over-year, while Unlock MLS reported a July median sale price of $435,000. Persistent supply—5+ months of inventory, widespread price cuts, and 12,000-plus active listings—continues to outpace absorption despite solid job growth and net migration. With only three weeks until September 30 resolution and no major near-term catalysts, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes below $446,000 as trader consensus reflects the ongoing correction from the 2022 peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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