Recent median listing price data from sources like Realtor.com have fluctuated in the $615K–$689K range through August 2026, anchoring trader focus on the two central bins near 44.5% and 34.7% implied probability. Persistent low inventory and resilient buyer demand in core NYC boroughs have supported values near these levels, while elevated mortgage rates and mixed sales volume introduce month-to-month volatility that could shift the final September 30 reading. With resolution imminent, the narrow spread between bins highlights sensitivity to the next housing inventory release and any late-quarter shifts in financing costs or transaction activity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$663K〜$689K 44.5%
$636K~$663K 38.0%
$555K未満 5.3%
$609K - $636K 4.9%
$64,698 Vol.
$64,698 Vol.
$555K未満
5%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
5%
$636K~$663K
34%
$663K〜$689K
44%
$689K以上
2%
$663K〜$689K 44.5%
$636K~$663K 38.0%
$555K未満 5.3%
$609K - $636K 4.9%
$64,698 Vol.
$64,698 Vol.
$555K未満
5%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
5%
$636K~$663K
34%
$663K〜$689K
44%
$689K以上
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
マーケット開始日: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent median listing price data from sources like Realtor.com have fluctuated in the $615K–$689K range through August 2026, anchoring trader focus on the two central bins near 44.5% and 34.7% implied probability. Persistent low inventory and resilient buyer demand in core NYC boroughs have supported values near these levels, while elevated mortgage rates and mixed sales volume introduce month-to-month volatility that could shift the final September 30 reading. With resolution imminent, the narrow spread between bins highlights sensitivity to the next housing inventory release and any late-quarter shifts in financing costs or transaction activity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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