Incumbent Democratic Representative Rick Larsen advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Edwin Feller in the state’s 2nd congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Larsen’s long tenure. Forecasters note the area’s voting patterns, including a Democratic presidential margin in the prior cycle, and the absence of recent events that would shift the competitive balance. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A sustained national Republican wave, unanticipated candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking controversy could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,895 Vol.
$17,895 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$17,895 Vol.
$17,895 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,575 Vol.
94%
共和党
$6,321 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Rick Larsen advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Edwin Feller in the state’s 2nd congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Larsen’s long tenure. Forecasters note the area’s voting patterns, including a Democratic presidential margin in the prior cycle, and the absence of recent events that would shift the competitive balance. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A sustained national Republican wave, unanticipated candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking controversy could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$17,895終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Rick Larsen advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Edwin Feller in the state’s 2nd congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Larsen’s long tenure. Forecasters note the area’s voting patterns, including a Democratic presidential margin in the prior cycle, and the absence of recent events that would shift the competitive balance. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A sustained national Republican wave, unanticipated candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking controversy could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,895終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Rick Larsen advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Edwin Feller in the state’s 2nd congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Larsen’s long tenure. Forecasters note the area’s voting patterns, including a Democratic presidential margin in the prior cycle, and the absence of recent events that would shift the competitive balance. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A sustained national Republican wave, unanticipated candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking controversy could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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