Recent S&P 500 levels reflect trader focus on the Federal Reserve’s policy path amid cooling inflation data and resilient labor market readings. Market-implied odds price in a gradual easing cycle through year-end, with the futures curve showing limited cuts priced for the remaining 2026 meetings. Corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and financials, continues to support valuations, though elevated Treasury yields and equity volatility measures like the VIX introduce caution. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC decision, upcoming CPI and employment reports, and Q3 earnings releases that will test whether revenue and margin trends can sustain current index levels into December. Traders monitor these releases closely as they directly influence rate expectations and risk-asset demand.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$339,529 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
3%
↑ $9,000
4%
↑ 8,600ドル
10%
↑ 8,200ドル
32%
↑ $8,000
60%
↓ $7,400
68%
↓ $7,200
73%
↓ $7,000
35%
↓ 6,200ドル
15%
↓ $6,000
16%
↓ 5,800ドル
9%
↓ 5,200ドル
7%
↓ 4,500ドル
4%
$339,529 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
$9,538 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,000
$78 Vol.
4%
↑ 8,600ドル
$30,614 Vol.
10%
↑ 8,200ドル
$23,783 Vol.
32%
↑ $8,000
$559 Vol.
60%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
68%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,000
$343 Vol.
35%
↓ 6,200ドル
$52,853 Vol.
15%
↓ $6,000
$2,957 Vol.
16%
↓ 5,800ドル
$41,770 Vol.
9%
↓ 5,200ドル
$56,898 Vol.
7%
↓ 4,500ドル
$59,984 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent S&P 500 levels reflect trader focus on the Federal Reserve’s policy path amid cooling inflation data and resilient labor market readings. Market-implied odds price in a gradual easing cycle through year-end, with the futures curve showing limited cuts priced for the remaining 2026 meetings. Corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and financials, continues to support valuations, though elevated Treasury yields and equity volatility measures like the VIX introduce caution. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC decision, upcoming CPI and employment reports, and Q3 earnings releases that will test whether revenue and margin trends can sustain current index levels into December. Traders monitor these releases closely as they directly influence rate expectations and risk-asset demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
音量
$339,529終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent S&P 500 levels reflect trader focus on the Federal Reserve’s policy path amid cooling inflation data and resilient labor market readings. Market-implied odds price in a gradual easing cycle through year-end, with the futures curve showing limited cuts priced for the remaining 2026 meetings. Corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and financials, continues to support valuations, though elevated Treasury yields and equity volatility measures like the VIX introduce caution. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC decision, upcoming CPI and employment reports, and Q3 earnings releases that will test whether revenue and margin trends can sustain current index levels into December. Traders monitor these releases closely as they directly influence rate expectations and risk-asset demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$339,529終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETRecent S&P 500 levels reflect trader focus on the Federal Reserve’s policy path amid cooling inflation data and resilient labor market readings. Market-implied odds price in a gradual easing cycle through year-end, with the futures curve showing limited cuts priced for the remaining 2026 meetings. Corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and financials, continues to support valuations, though elevated Treasury yields and equity volatility measures like the VIX introduce caution. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC decision, upcoming CPI and employment reports, and Q3 earnings releases that will test whether revenue and margin trends can sustain current index levels into December. Traders monitor these releases closely as they directly influence rate expectations and risk-asset demand.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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