Strong corporate earnings, particularly in technology and AI infrastructure, have driven recent S&P 500 gains of roughly 12% year-to-date through mid-September 2026, with the index trading near 7,500–7,670 amid 86% earnings beat rates. Wall Street strategists have lifted 2026 year-end targets, with HSBC at 8,100, Barclays at 7,950, and JPMorgan at 7,800, reflecting upward EPS revisions to $350–$365 and expectations for over 25% second-half growth. Persistent inflation, including August core CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, has shifted Fed expectations toward potential rate hikes under Chair Kevin Warsh, with futures pricing elevated odds for near-term tightening. These dynamics—AI-led profit momentum versus sticky price pressures and policy risks—shape aggregated trader views on December closing levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$355,047 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
4%
↑ $9,000
50%
↑ 8,600ドル
11%
↑ 8,200ドル
27%
↑ $8,000
44%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
48%
↓ $7,000
34%
↓ 6,200ドル
21%
↓ $6,000
14%
↓ 5,800ドル
9%
↓ 5,200ドル
7%
↓ 4,500ドル
4%
$355,047 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$425 Vol.
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
$10,026 Vol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
50%
↑ 8,600ドル
$31,740 Vol.
11%
↑ 8,200ドル
$23,856 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$571 Vol.
44%
↓ $7,400
$15 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,200
$159 Vol.
48%
↓ $7,000
$1,090 Vol.
34%
↓ 6,200ドル
$57,316 Vol.
21%
↓ $6,000
$4,170 Vol.
14%
↓ 5,800ドル
$42,734 Vol.
9%
↓ 5,200ドル
$62,331 Vol.
7%
↓ 4,500ドル
$60,426 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Strong corporate earnings, particularly in technology and AI infrastructure, have driven recent S&P 500 gains of roughly 12% year-to-date through mid-September 2026, with the index trading near 7,500–7,670 amid 86% earnings beat rates. Wall Street strategists have lifted 2026 year-end targets, with HSBC at 8,100, Barclays at 7,950, and JPMorgan at 7,800, reflecting upward EPS revisions to $350–$365 and expectations for over 25% second-half growth. Persistent inflation, including August core CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, has shifted Fed expectations toward potential rate hikes under Chair Kevin Warsh, with futures pricing elevated odds for near-term tightening. These dynamics—AI-led profit momentum versus sticky price pressures and policy risks—shape aggregated trader views on December closing levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
音量
$355,047終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Strong corporate earnings, particularly in technology and AI infrastructure, have driven recent S&P 500 gains of roughly 12% year-to-date through mid-September 2026, with the index trading near 7,500–7,670 amid 86% earnings beat rates. Wall Street strategists have lifted 2026 year-end targets, with HSBC at 8,100, Barclays at 7,950, and JPMorgan at 7,800, reflecting upward EPS revisions to $350–$365 and expectations for over 25% second-half growth. Persistent inflation, including August core CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, has shifted Fed expectations toward potential rate hikes under Chair Kevin Warsh, with futures pricing elevated odds for near-term tightening. These dynamics—AI-led profit momentum versus sticky price pressures and policy risks—shape aggregated trader views on December closing levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
音量
$355,047終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETStrong corporate earnings, particularly in technology and AI infrastructure, have driven recent S&P 500 gains of roughly 12% year-to-date through mid-September 2026, with the index trading near 7,500–7,670 amid 86% earnings beat rates. Wall Street strategists have lifted 2026 year-end targets, with HSBC at 8,100, Barclays at 7,950, and JPMorgan at 7,800, reflecting upward EPS revisions to $350–$365 and expectations for over 25% second-half growth. Persistent inflation, including August core CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, has shifted Fed expectations toward potential rate hikes under Chair Kevin Warsh, with futures pricing elevated odds for near-term tightening. These dynamics—AI-led profit momentum versus sticky price pressures and policy risks—shape aggregated trader views on December closing levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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