In South Carolina's 3rd congressional district, the race between incumbent Republican Sheri Biggs and Democratic challenger Eunice Lehmacher remains a low-engagement contest in a reliably Republican-leaning area encompassing parts of the Piedmont. Recent primary results have clarified the general election matchup, with Biggs securing the GOP nomination and Lehmacher advancing on the Democratic side. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% pricing for leading candidates signals limited movement despite national midterm dynamics favoring Democrats in the broader House battle. Key factors sustaining equilibrium include the district's historical margins exceeding 25 points, modest fundraising differentials, and absence of major polling shifts or campaign events. Upcoming developments such as debate schedules, endorsement patterns, or turnout data in battleground precincts could widen separation, while any national economic or policy surprises might compress or expand the implied victory range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日共和党45-50% 37%
共和党 35-40% 37%
共和党 30〜35% 37%
共和党 0-10% 37%

共和党 50%超
37%

共和党45-50%
37%

共和党 40〜45%
37%

共和党 35-40%
37%

共和党 30〜35%
37%

共和党 25~30%
37%

共和党 20-25%
37%

共和党 10〜20%
37%

共和党 0-10%
37%

民主党が勝利
37%
共和党45-50% 37%
共和党 35-40% 37%
共和党 30〜35% 37%
共和党 0-10% 37%

共和党 50%超
37%

共和党45-50%
37%

共和党 40〜45%
37%

共和党 35-40%
37%

共和党 30〜35%
37%

共和党 25~30%
37%

共和党 20-25%
37%

共和党 10〜20%
37%

共和党 0-10%
37%

民主党が勝利
37%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 SC-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 2:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 SC-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In South Carolina's 3rd congressional district, the race between incumbent Republican Sheri Biggs and Democratic challenger Eunice Lehmacher remains a low-engagement contest in a reliably Republican-leaning area encompassing parts of the Piedmont. Recent primary results have clarified the general election matchup, with Biggs securing the GOP nomination and Lehmacher advancing on the Democratic side. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% pricing for leading candidates signals limited movement despite national midterm dynamics favoring Democrats in the broader House battle. Key factors sustaining equilibrium include the district's historical margins exceeding 25 points, modest fundraising differentials, and absence of major polling shifts or campaign events. Upcoming developments such as debate schedules, endorsement patterns, or turnout data in battleground precincts could widen separation, while any national economic or policy surprises might compress or expand the implied victory range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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