The Rhode Island U.S. Senate race pits longtime Democratic incumbent Jack Reed against Republican challenger Raymond McKay in a contest rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. With the September 9 primaries days away and the general election two months out, trader consensus clusters around 300,000–400,000 total votes cast, reflecting Rhode Island’s typical midterm-era turnout patterns of 48–60 percent of registered voters. Limited campaign intensity, the absence of competitive down-ballot races, and modest early-voting activity keep probabilities spread across several turnout bins. Factors that could shift the distribution include primary results, late-cycle get-out-the-vote spending, or unusually high mail or early voting participation before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日30万-35万 33%
25万未満 23%
45万票以上 22%
25万〜30万 13%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
25万未満
23%
25万〜30万
13%
30万-35万
33%
35万～40万
14%
40万～45万
13%
45万票以上
22%
30万-35万 33%
25万未満 23%
45万票以上 22%
25万〜30万 13%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
25万未満
$40 Vol.
23%
25万〜30万
$40 Vol.
13%
30万-35万
$60 Vol.
33%
35万～40万
$21 Vol.
14%
40万～45万
$20 Vol.
13%
45万票以上
$41 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Rhode Island U.S. Senate race pits longtime Democratic incumbent Jack Reed against Republican challenger Raymond McKay in a contest rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. With the September 9 primaries days away and the general election two months out, trader consensus clusters around 300,000–400,000 total votes cast, reflecting Rhode Island’s typical midterm-era turnout patterns of 48–60 percent of registered voters. Limited campaign intensity, the absence of competitive down-ballot races, and modest early-voting activity keep probabilities spread across several turnout bins. Factors that could shift the distribution include primary results, late-cycle get-out-the-vote spending, or unusually high mail or early voting participation before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
音量
$222終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Rhode Island U.S. Senate race pits longtime Democratic incumbent Jack Reed against Republican challenger Raymond McKay in a contest rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. With the September 9 primaries days away and the general election two months out, trader consensus clusters around 300,000–400,000 total votes cast, reflecting Rhode Island’s typical midterm-era turnout patterns of 48–60 percent of registered voters. Limited campaign intensity, the absence of competitive down-ballot races, and modest early-voting activity keep probabilities spread across several turnout bins. Factors that could shift the distribution include primary results, late-cycle get-out-the-vote spending, or unusually high mail or early voting participation before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$222終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Rhode Island U.S. Senate race pits longtime Democratic incumbent Jack Reed against Republican challenger Raymond McKay in a contest rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. With the September 9 primaries days away and the general election two months out, trader consensus clusters around 300,000–400,000 total votes cast, reflecting Rhode Island’s typical midterm-era turnout patterns of 48–60 percent of registered voters. Limited campaign intensity, the absence of competitive down-ballot races, and modest early-voting activity keep probabilities spread across several turnout bins. Factors that could shift the distribution include primary results, late-cycle get-out-the-vote spending, or unusually high mail or early voting participation before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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