Paul Giamatti holds the strongest early market position at 55.5% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actor race, fueled by his established awards pedigree, overdue narrative after past nominations, and anticipated momentum from 2026 projects such as A24 collaborations. Traders see his consistent critical acclaim and guild-friendly profile as key differentiators in a wide-open field. The long list of contenders at lower odds—including Robert Pattinson, John Goodman, Sam Rockwell, Edward Norton, and Colman Domingo—reflects uncertainty tied to unreleased films like The Odyssey and Digger, where ensemble roles and breakout turns could shift sentiment. Upcoming fall festivals, first reviews, and precursor guild nods will likely clarify frontrunners as the campaign intensifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 56%
Robert Pattinson 8.9%
ガイ・ピアース 9%
John Goodman 8%
$14,982 Vol.
$14,982 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
56%

Robert Pattinson
9%

ガイ・ピアース
9%

John Goodman
8%

Sam Rockwell
6%

Edward Norton
5%

Miles Teller
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Travis Scott
3%

Colman Domingo
3%

Michael Fassbender
2%

Channing Tatum
2%

Adam Scott
2%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 56%
Robert Pattinson 8.9%
ガイ・ピアース 9%
John Goodman 8%
$14,982 Vol.
$14,982 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
56%

Robert Pattinson
9%

ガイ・ピアース
9%

John Goodman
8%

Sam Rockwell
6%

Edward Norton
5%

Miles Teller
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Travis Scott
3%

Colman Domingo
3%

Michael Fassbender
2%

Channing Tatum
2%

Adam Scott
2%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Paul Giamatti holds the strongest early market position at 55.5% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actor race, fueled by his established awards pedigree, overdue narrative after past nominations, and anticipated momentum from 2026 projects such as A24 collaborations. Traders see his consistent critical acclaim and guild-friendly profile as key differentiators in a wide-open field. The long list of contenders at lower odds—including Robert Pattinson, John Goodman, Sam Rockwell, Edward Norton, and Colman Domingo—reflects uncertainty tied to unreleased films like The Odyssey and Digger, where ensemble roles and breakout turns could shift sentiment. Upcoming fall festivals, first reviews, and precursor guild nods will likely clarify frontrunners as the campaign intensifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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