Recent model runs from European and global ensembles indicate a warming trend across northern France, with Paris daytime highs climbing toward 30–35°C by July 28 amid building high pressure and reduced cloud cover. Overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies and lighter winds could allow the minimum to settle near 15–17°C at official urban stations, where the heat-island effect typically moderates extremes compared with rural sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or timing of any passing weak front can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Longer-range guidance shows low probability of significant cooling below 14°C or sustained warmth keeping the minimum above 19°C, reflecting typical July variability around the 14–16°C climatological baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月28日のパリの最低気温は？
7月28日のパリの最低気温は？
15°C 39%
14°C 23%
16°C 22%
17°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/07/28
11°C or below
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
11%
14°C
23%
15°C
39%
16°C
22%
17°C
16%
18°C
15%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
15°C 39%
14°C 23%
16°C 22%
17°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/07/28
11°C or below
$11 Vol.
9%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
23%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$18 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
16%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$27 Vol.
6%
20°C
$47 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$97 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from European and global ensembles indicate a warming trend across northern France, with Paris daytime highs climbing toward 30–35°C by July 28 amid building high pressure and reduced cloud cover. Overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies and lighter winds could allow the minimum to settle near 15–17°C at official urban stations, where the heat-island effect typically moderates extremes compared with rural sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or timing of any passing weak front can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Longer-range guidance shows low probability of significant cooling below 14°C or sustained warmth keeping the minimum above 19°C, reflecting typical July variability around the 14–16°C climatological baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
音量
$201終了日
2026/07/28マーケット開始日
Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from European and global ensembles indicate a warming trend across northern France, with Paris daytime highs climbing toward 30–35°C by July 28 amid building high pressure and reduced cloud cover. Overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies and lighter winds could allow the minimum to settle near 15–17°C at official urban stations, where the heat-island effect typically moderates extremes compared with rural sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or timing of any passing weak front can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Longer-range guidance shows low probability of significant cooling below 14°C or sustained warmth keeping the minimum above 19°C, reflecting typical July variability around the 14–16°C climatological baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$201終了日
2026/07/28マーケット開始日
Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ETRecent model runs from European and global ensembles indicate a warming trend across northern France, with Paris daytime highs climbing toward 30–35°C by July 28 amid building high pressure and reduced cloud cover. Overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies and lighter winds could allow the minimum to settle near 15–17°C at official urban stations, where the heat-island effect typically moderates extremes compared with rural sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or timing of any passing weak front can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Longer-range guidance shows low probability of significant cooling below 14°C or sustained warmth keeping the minimum above 19°C, reflecting typical July variability around the 14–16°C climatological baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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