Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a high near 23–28°C in Paris on July 26 under partly cloudy skies following the early-July heatwave, with limited daytime heating due to variable cloud cover and a moderating northerly flow. This range aligns closely with the tightly bunched market odds favoring 23–25°C, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Normal July climatology (around 25°C) and the absence of strong high pressure or southerly advection support the current trader consensus, with updates from 48-hour model runs likely to refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月26日のパリの最高気温は?
24°C 35%
25°C 25%
23°C 20%
26°C 12%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
35%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
25°C 25%
23°C 20%
26°C 12%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
35%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a high near 23–28°C in Paris on July 26 under partly cloudy skies following the early-July heatwave, with limited daytime heating due to variable cloud cover and a moderating northerly flow. This range aligns closely with the tightly bunched market odds favoring 23–25°C, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Normal July climatology (around 25°C) and the absence of strong high pressure or southerly advection support the current trader consensus, with updates from 48-hour model runs likely to refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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