Forecast models from agencies tracking Hong Kong's subtropical conditions point to overnight minima near 26–27°C on September 13, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 90%, and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show dew points holding around 24–25°C, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer nights, while historical September baselines average closer to 24°C. Trader consensus at 50% for 27°C and 26% for 26°C reflects this warm bias in latest model runs, with lower probabilities for 25°C or below tied to uncertainty in storm timing and any brief clearing. Updated forecasts and real-time station data through the night will determine resolution against official minimum thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の香港の最低気温は？
9月13日の香港の最低気温は？
27℃ 39%
26°C 27%
25°C 22%
24℃ 11%
新規
$12,612 Vol.
新規
$12,612 Vol.
2026/09/13
22℃以下
1%
23℃
7%
24℃
11%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27℃
39%
28℃
<1%
29°C
1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C以上
1%
27℃ 39%
26°C 27%
25°C 22%
24℃ 11%
新規
$12,612 Vol.
新規
$12,612 Vol.
2026/09/13
22℃以下
$739 Vol.
1%
23℃
$1,152 Vol.
7%
24℃
$1,990 Vol.
11%
25°C
$2,310 Vol.
27%
26°C
$1,691 Vol.
30%
27℃
$3,903 Vol.
39%
28℃
$446 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$152 Vol.
1%
30℃
$77 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
32°C以上
$77 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from agencies tracking Hong Kong's subtropical conditions point to overnight minima near 26–27°C on September 13, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 90%, and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show dew points holding around 24–25°C, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer nights, while historical September baselines average closer to 24°C. Trader consensus at 50% for 27°C and 26% for 26°C reflects this warm bias in latest model runs, with lower probabilities for 25°C or below tied to uncertainty in storm timing and any brief clearing. Updated forecasts and real-time station data through the night will determine resolution against official minimum thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$12,612終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from agencies tracking Hong Kong's subtropical conditions point to overnight minima near 26–27°C on September 13, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 90%, and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show dew points holding around 24–25°C, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer nights, while historical September baselines average closer to 24°C. Trader consensus at 50% for 27°C and 26% for 26°C reflects this warm bias in latest model runs, with lower probabilities for 25°C or below tied to uncertainty in storm timing and any brief clearing. Updated forecasts and real-time station data through the night will determine resolution against official minimum thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$12,612終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies tracking Hong Kong's subtropical conditions point to overnight minima near 26–27°C on September 13, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 90%, and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show dew points holding around 24–25°C, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer nights, while historical September baselines average closer to 24°C. Trader consensus at 50% for 27°C and 26% for 26°C reflects this warm bias in latest model runs, with lower probabilities for 25°C or below tied to uncertainty in storm timing and any brief clearing. Updated forecasts and real-time station data through the night will determine resolution against official minimum thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問