Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight minimum on September 12 will likely fall between 14–17 °C under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting radiative cooling as the dominant process. Dry air with dew points near 11–13 °C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss after sunset, while stable high pressure limits advection or mixing that could raise the low. Historical climatology places the September 12 average minimum at 16.9 °C, with rare drops to the single digits only under exceptional cold-air intrusions absent in current guidance. Slight model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and exact timing of the minimum creates the tight market-implied odds near 10–15 °C thresholds, with traders weighting the potential for localized urban cooling or measurement-site specifics. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine the precise value ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の北京の最低気温は？
9月12日の北京の最低気温は？
10℃以下 100%
11°C 93%
13℃ 49%
14℃ 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
10℃以下
100%
11°C
93%
12℃
-
13℃
49%
14℃
27%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃以上
<1%
10℃以下 100%
11°C 93%
13℃ 49%
14℃ 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
10℃以下
$10 Vol.
100%
11°C
$0 Vol.
93%
12℃
$25 Vol.
-
13℃
$0 Vol.
49%
14℃
$0 Vol.
27%
15℃
$126 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$90 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$500 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$25 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$227 Vol.
<1%
20℃以上
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight minimum on September 12 will likely fall between 14–17 °C under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting radiative cooling as the dominant process. Dry air with dew points near 11–13 °C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss after sunset, while stable high pressure limits advection or mixing that could raise the low. Historical climatology places the September 12 average minimum at 16.9 °C, with rare drops to the single digits only under exceptional cold-air intrusions absent in current guidance. Slight model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and exact timing of the minimum creates the tight market-implied odds near 10–15 °C thresholds, with traders weighting the potential for localized urban cooling or measurement-site specifics. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine the precise value ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$1,038終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight minimum on September 12 will likely fall between 14–17 °C under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting radiative cooling as the dominant process. Dry air with dew points near 11–13 °C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss after sunset, while stable high pressure limits advection or mixing that could raise the low. Historical climatology places the September 12 average minimum at 16.9 °C, with rare drops to the single digits only under exceptional cold-air intrusions absent in current guidance. Slight model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and exact timing of the minimum creates the tight market-implied odds near 10–15 °C thresholds, with traders weighting the potential for localized urban cooling or measurement-site specifics. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine the precise value ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,038終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight minimum on September 12 will likely fall between 14–17 °C under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting radiative cooling as the dominant process. Dry air with dew points near 11–13 °C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss after sunset, while stable high pressure limits advection or mixing that could raise the low. Historical climatology places the September 12 average minimum at 16.9 °C, with rare drops to the single digits only under exceptional cold-air intrusions absent in current guidance. Slight model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and exact timing of the minimum creates the tight market-implied odds near 10–15 °C thresholds, with traders weighting the potential for localized urban cooling or measurement-site specifics. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine the precise value ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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