Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 69–71°F for San Francisco on September 11, following a sharp cooldown from the prior day’s record warmth as onshore southwest flow strengthens and a marine layer develops. This setup favors morning clouds that limit afternoon heating, with sea-surface temperatures and the typical September pressure gradient keeping maxima close to the 70.6°F climatological normal. Trader emphasis on the 70–73°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact marine-layer depth and wind timing, both of which can shift the peak by 1–3°F; lighter winds or delayed clearing would push readings toward 72–73°F, while stronger onshore flow or earlier fog would cap them at 70–71°F. Updated model runs and the afternoon forecast discussion will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は?
72~73°F 37%
70~71°F 30%
華氏74〜75度 16%
68~69°F 13%
63°F以下
<1%
64~65°F
1%
66~67°F
3%
68~69°F
13%
70~71°F
30%
72~73°F
37%
華氏74〜75度
16%
76~77°F
5%
78~79°F
3%
80~81°F
2%
82°F以上
<1%
72~73°F 37%
70~71°F 30%
華氏74〜75度 16%
68~69°F 13%
63°F以下
<1%
64~65°F
1%
66~67°F
3%
68~69°F
13%
70~71°F
30%
72~73°F
37%
華氏74〜75度
16%
76~77°F
5%
78~79°F
3%
80~81°F
2%
82°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 69–71°F for San Francisco on September 11, following a sharp cooldown from the prior day’s record warmth as onshore southwest flow strengthens and a marine layer develops. This setup favors morning clouds that limit afternoon heating, with sea-surface temperatures and the typical September pressure gradient keeping maxima close to the 70.6°F climatological normal. Trader emphasis on the 70–73°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact marine-layer depth and wind timing, both of which can shift the peak by 1–3°F; lighter winds or delayed clearing would push readings toward 72–73°F, while stronger onshore flow or earlier fog would cap them at 70–71°F. Updated model runs and the afternoon forecast discussion will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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