The 30-year Treasury yield has traded near 5.24% in early September 2026, up from roughly 4.9% a year earlier, with recent daily closes between 5.17% and 5.28%. Elevated term premiums reflect persistent above-target inflation, heavy Treasury issuance amid structural fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, and competition for capital from AI-related investment. Recent labor-market and inflation prints have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold the funds rate steady at its September 16 meeting rather than ease further. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 PPI and September 11 CPI releases, which will shape trader views on whether yields test higher levels before month-end or stabilize in the current range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
5.60%
38%
5.55%
50%
5.50％
50%
5.45%
50%
5.42%
49%
5.39%
50%
5.36%
50%
5.33%
51%
5.30%
63%
$0.00 Vol.
5.60%
$0 Vol.
38%
5.55%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.50％
$0 Vol.
50%
5.45%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.42%
$0 Vol.
49%
5.39%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.36%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.33%
$0 Vol.
51%
5.30%
$0 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield has traded near 5.24% in early September 2026, up from roughly 4.9% a year earlier, with recent daily closes between 5.17% and 5.28%. Elevated term premiums reflect persistent above-target inflation, heavy Treasury issuance amid structural fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, and competition for capital from AI-related investment. Recent labor-market and inflation prints have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold the funds rate steady at its September 16 meeting rather than ease further. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 PPI and September 11 CPI releases, which will shape trader views on whether yields test higher levels before month-end or stabilize in the current range.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield has traded near 5.24% in early September 2026, up from roughly 4.9% a year earlier, with recent daily closes between 5.17% and 5.28%. Elevated term premiums reflect persistent above-target inflation, heavy Treasury issuance amid structural fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, and competition for capital from AI-related investment. Recent labor-market and inflation prints have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold the funds rate steady at its September 16 meeting rather than ease further. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 PPI and September 11 CPI releases, which will shape trader views on whether yields test higher levels before month-end or stabilize in the current range.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The 30-year Treasury yield has traded near 5.24% in early September 2026, up from roughly 4.9% a year earlier, with recent daily closes between 5.17% and 5.28%. Elevated term premiums reflect persistent above-target inflation, heavy Treasury issuance amid structural fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, and competition for capital from AI-related investment. Recent labor-market and inflation prints have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold the funds rate steady at its September 16 meeting rather than ease further. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 PPI and September 11 CPI releases, which will shape trader views on whether yields test higher levels before month-end or stabilize in the current range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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