Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Weather25 project daytime highs in Ankara of 32–36°C for August 3, 2026, with the majority clustering around 33–35°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions and clear skies. These align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (22.5%), as ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and only modest potential for slight warming or cooling depending on exact wind patterns and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 31°C provide baseline context, while the absence of unusual synoptic features such as strong advection or cloud cover keeps outcomes tightly grouped between 32–35°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のアンカラの最高気温は?
33°C 47%
34°C 24%
32°C 18%
31°C 13%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
18%
33°C
47%
34°C
24%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 24%
32°C 18%
31°C 13%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
18%
33°C
47%
34°C
24%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Weather25 project daytime highs in Ankara of 32–36°C for August 3, 2026, with the majority clustering around 33–35°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions and clear skies. These align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (22.5%), as ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and only modest potential for slight warming or cooling depending on exact wind patterns and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 31°C provide baseline context, while the absence of unusual synoptic features such as strong advection or cloud cover keeps outcomes tightly grouped between 32–35°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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