**Investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell's alleged sexual misconduct have advanced through device seizures and warrants but produced no charges.** In mid-August 2026, FBI agents executed search warrants at San Francisco International Airport and Swalwell’s Washington home, seizing an iPhone and MacBook Pro as part of a federal civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 tied to the allegations. Parallel inquiries continue with the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities following the April 2026 public accusations that prompted his congressional resignation and withdrawal from the California governor’s race. With the September 30 resolution date approaching and no indictments filed despite months of scrutiny and device analysis, traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the procedural timelines typical of such cases and the absence of imminent charging decisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
16% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
はい
16% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell's alleged sexual misconduct have advanced through device seizures and warrants but produced no charges.** In mid-August 2026, FBI agents executed search warrants at San Francisco International Airport and Swalwell’s Washington home, seizing an iPhone and MacBook Pro as part of a federal civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 tied to the allegations. Parallel inquiries continue with the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities following the April 2026 public accusations that prompted his congressional resignation and withdrawal from the California governor’s race.
With the September 30 resolution date approaching and no indictments filed despite months of scrutiny and device analysis, traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the procedural timelines typical of such cases and the absence of imminent charging decisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
音量
$105終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell's alleged sexual misconduct have advanced through device seizures and warrants but produced no charges.** In mid-August 2026, FBI agents executed search warrants at San Francisco International Airport and Swalwell’s Washington home, seizing an iPhone and MacBook Pro as part of a federal civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 tied to the allegations. Parallel inquiries continue with the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities following the April 2026 public accusations that prompted his congressional resignation and withdrawal from the California governor’s race.
With the September 30 resolution date approaching and no indictments filed despite months of scrutiny and device analysis, traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the procedural timelines typical of such cases and the absence of imminent charging decisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$105終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell's alleged sexual misconduct have advanced through device seizures and warrants but produced no charges.** In mid-August 2026, FBI agents executed search warrants at San Francisco International Airport and Swalwell’s Washington home, seizing an iPhone and MacBook Pro as part of a federal civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 tied to the allegations. Parallel inquiries continue with the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities following the April 2026 public accusations that prompted his congressional resignation and withdrawal from the California governor’s race. With the September 30 resolution date approaching and no indictments filed despite months of scrutiny and device analysis, traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the procedural timelines typical of such cases and the absence of imminent charging decisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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