Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Colorado U.S. Senate race, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 95.5% implied probability of victory. Hickenlooper, who won his party's primary in late June against progressive challenger Julie Gonzales, benefits from the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his established name recognition as a former governor and senator, and a relatively weak Republican field headed by state Senator Mark Baisley. Recent primary results and the absence of major polling shifts or disruptive events since early summer have reinforced trader consensus around the incumbent's path to re-election on November 3. A significant national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or unexpected health or campaign development could still narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited indicators of such volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$47,960 Vol.
$47,960 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$47,960 Vol.
$47,960 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,463 Vol.
96%
共和党
$35,496 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Colorado U.S. Senate race, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 95.5% implied probability of victory. Hickenlooper, who won his party's primary in late June against progressive challenger Julie Gonzales, benefits from the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his established name recognition as a former governor and senator, and a relatively weak Republican field headed by state Senator Mark Baisley. Recent primary results and the absence of major polling shifts or disruptive events since early summer have reinforced trader consensus around the incumbent's path to re-election on November 3. A significant national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or unexpected health or campaign development could still narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited indicators of such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$47,960終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Colorado U.S. Senate race, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 95.5% implied probability of victory. Hickenlooper, who won his party's primary in late June against progressive challenger Julie Gonzales, benefits from the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his established name recognition as a former governor and senator, and a relatively weak Republican field headed by state Senator Mark Baisley. Recent primary results and the absence of major polling shifts or disruptive events since early summer have reinforced trader consensus around the incumbent's path to re-election on November 3. A significant national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or unexpected health or campaign development could still narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited indicators of such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$47,960終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Colorado U.S. Senate race, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 95.5% implied probability of victory. Hickenlooper, who won his party's primary in late June against progressive challenger Julie Gonzales, benefits from the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his established name recognition as a former governor and senator, and a relatively weak Republican field headed by state Senator Mark Baisley. Recent primary results and the absence of major polling shifts or disruptive events since early summer have reinforced trader consensus around the incumbent's path to re-election on November 3. A significant national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or unexpected health or campaign development could still narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited indicators of such volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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