**José Maria Neves leads the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election market at 67.5% implied probability as the PAICV incumbent seeking re-election on November 15.** His party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory, which ended MpD control and installed a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced his position by signaling strong organizational backing and voter continuity ahead of the first-round vote. Lower-priced contenders such as Janine Lélis (11.5%), Milton Paiva (7%), Péricles Tavares (7%), and others including Casimiro de Pina, Fernando Delgado, and Joana Rosa (all under 7%) reflect limited national name recognition and weaker party structures at this stage. Trader consensus prices the outcome around Neves’ incumbency advantage and the recent legislative shift, with any late consolidation among opposition figures or turnout shifts in the final months the main variables that could alter probabilities before the November ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジョゼ・マリア・ネヴェス 68%
ジャニーヌ・レリス 11%
ペリクレス・タヴァレス 8%
ミルトン・パイヴァ 8%
新規
新規
2026/11/15
ジョゼ・マリア・ネヴェス
68%
ジャニーヌ・レリス
11%
ペリクレス・タヴァレス
8%
ミルトン・パイヴァ
8%
フェルナンド・デルガド
6%
カジミロ・デ・ピナ
6%
ジョアナ・ローザ
2%
ジョゼ・マリア・ネヴェス 68%
ジャニーヌ・レリス 11%
ペリクレス・タヴァレス 8%
ミルトン・パイヴァ 8%
新規
新規
2026/11/15
ジョゼ・マリア・ネヴェス
$1,048 Vol.
68%
ジャニーヌ・レリス
$198 Vol.
11%
ペリクレス・タヴァレス
$223 Vol.
8%
ミルトン・パイヴァ
$235 Vol.
8%
フェルナンド・デルガド
$198 Vol.
6%
カジミロ・デ・ピナ
$198 Vol.
6%
ジョアナ・ローザ
$223 Vol.
2%
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).**José Maria Neves leads the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election market at 67.5% implied probability as the PAICV incumbent seeking re-election on November 15.** His party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory, which ended MpD control and installed a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced his position by signaling strong organizational backing and voter continuity ahead of the first-round vote. Lower-priced contenders such as Janine Lélis (11.5%), Milton Paiva (7%), Péricles Tavares (7%), and others including Casimiro de Pina, Fernando Delgado, and Joana Rosa (all under 7%) reflect limited national name recognition and weaker party structures at this stage. Trader consensus prices the outcome around Neves’ incumbency advantage and the recent legislative shift, with any late consolidation among opposition figures or turnout shifts in the final months the main variables that could alter probabilities before the November ballot.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET
音量
$2,323終了日
2026/11/15マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).**José Maria Neves leads the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election market at 67.5% implied probability as the PAICV incumbent seeking re-election on November 15.** His party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory, which ended MpD control and installed a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced his position by signaling strong organizational backing and voter continuity ahead of the first-round vote. Lower-priced contenders such as Janine Lélis (11.5%), Milton Paiva (7%), Péricles Tavares (7%), and others including Casimiro de Pina, Fernando Delgado, and Joana Rosa (all under 7%) reflect limited national name recognition and weaker party structures at this stage. Trader consensus prices the outcome around Neves’ incumbency advantage and the recent legislative shift, with any late consolidation among opposition figures or turnout shifts in the final months the main variables that could alter probabilities before the November ballot.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
音量
$2,323終了日
2026/11/15マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**José Maria Neves leads the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election market at 67.5% implied probability as the PAICV incumbent seeking re-election on November 15.** His party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory, which ended MpD control and installed a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced his position by signaling strong organizational backing and voter continuity ahead of the first-round vote. Lower-priced contenders such as Janine Lélis (11.5%), Milton Paiva (7%), Péricles Tavares (7%), and others including Casimiro de Pina, Fernando Delgado, and Joana Rosa (all under 7%) reflect limited national name recognition and weaker party structures at this stage. Trader consensus prices the outcome around Neves’ incumbency advantage and the recent legislative shift, with any late consolidation among opposition figures or turnout shifts in the final months the main variables that could alter probabilities before the November ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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