Lula holds overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Alagoas during the October 4 first-round vote due to entrenched regional support for the Workers’ Party in Brazil’s Northeast, where the incumbent president has long drawn strong backing from lower-income voters, Catholics, and traditional PT strongholds. National polls consistently show Lula leading overall, with even wider margins expected in northeastern states like Alagoas compared to southern and southeastern regions favoring Flávio Bolsonaro. Campaigning opened in mid-August with Lula’s re-election bid formally advanced alongside running mate Geraldo Alckmin, while Bolsonaro’s ticket features Alagoas deputy Alfredo Gaspar as vice-presidential nominee. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high turnout among evangelical or conservative blocs or a late surge by minor right-leaning candidates, though historical voting patterns in the state limit realistic challenges to Lula’s position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ルーラ 96.5%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 1.1%
ゼマ <1%
作家アウグスト・クーリ <1%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ルーラ
97%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
1%
ゼマ
1%
作家アウグスト・クーリ
<1%
パブロ・マルサル
<1%
レナン・サントス
<1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
<1%
エドミルソン・コスタ
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
<1%
ロナウド・カイアド
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
<1%
サマラ
<1%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
<1%
ルーラ 96.5%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 1.1%
ゼマ <1%
作家アウグスト・クーリ <1%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ルーラ
$4,316 Vol.
97%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$252 Vol.
1%
ゼマ
$236 Vol.
1%
作家アウグスト・クーリ
$225 Vol.
<1%
パブロ・マルサル
$236 Vol.
<1%
レナン・サントス
$191 Vol.
<1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$225 Vol.
<1%
エドミルソン・コスタ
$236 Vol.
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$236 Vol.
<1%
ロナウド・カイアド
$236 Vol.
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$236 Vol.
<1%
サマラ
$191 Vol.
<1%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
$225 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Alagoas during the October 4 first-round vote due to entrenched regional support for the Workers’ Party in Brazil’s Northeast, where the incumbent president has long drawn strong backing from lower-income voters, Catholics, and traditional PT strongholds. National polls consistently show Lula leading overall, with even wider margins expected in northeastern states like Alagoas compared to southern and southeastern regions favoring Flávio Bolsonaro. Campaigning opened in mid-August with Lula’s re-election bid formally advanced alongside running mate Geraldo Alckmin, while Bolsonaro’s ticket features Alagoas deputy Alfredo Gaspar as vice-presidential nominee. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high turnout among evangelical or conservative blocs or a late surge by minor right-leaning candidates, though historical voting patterns in the state limit realistic challenges to Lula’s position.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
音量
$7,046終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Alagoas during the October 4 first-round vote due to entrenched regional support for the Workers’ Party in Brazil’s Northeast, where the incumbent president has long drawn strong backing from lower-income voters, Catholics, and traditional PT strongholds. National polls consistently show Lula leading overall, with even wider margins expected in northeastern states like Alagoas compared to southern and southeastern regions favoring Flávio Bolsonaro. Campaigning opened in mid-August with Lula’s re-election bid formally advanced alongside running mate Geraldo Alckmin, while Bolsonaro’s ticket features Alagoas deputy Alfredo Gaspar as vice-presidential nominee. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high turnout among evangelical or conservative blocs or a late surge by minor right-leaning candidates, though historical voting patterns in the state limit realistic challenges to Lula’s position.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$7,046終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Alagoas during the October 4 first-round vote due to entrenched regional support for the Workers’ Party in Brazil’s Northeast, where the incumbent president has long drawn strong backing from lower-income voters, Catholics, and traditional PT strongholds. National polls consistently show Lula leading overall, with even wider margins expected in northeastern states like Alagoas compared to southern and southeastern regions favoring Flávio Bolsonaro. Campaigning opened in mid-August with Lula’s re-election bid formally advanced alongside running mate Geraldo Alckmin, while Bolsonaro’s ticket features Alagoas deputy Alfredo Gaspar as vice-presidential nominee. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high turnout among evangelical or conservative blocs or a late surge by minor right-leaning candidates, though historical voting patterns in the state limit realistic challenges to Lula’s position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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