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icon for 7月31日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか？
テクノロジー·アプリ

7月31日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか？

icon for 7月31日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか？
テクノロジー·アプリ

7月31日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか？

7月 24

7月 31

7月 24

7月 31

ChatGPT 68%

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes 50%

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace 50%

TikTok Pro - Events 43%

Polymarket
新規

ChatGPT 68%

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes 50%

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace 50%

TikTok Pro - Events 43%

Polymarket
新規
icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

68%

icon for Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Threads

Threads

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$0 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT leads with 66.5% implied probability due to its consistent top-two positioning in recent US App Store charts, fueled by OpenAI's July 14 update enhancing search across chats and projects alongside sustained demand for large language model features. Shopping apps like Vinted and Depop hover near 50% on potential seasonal traffic spikes, while TikTok Pro - Events and Threads reflect platform-driven engagement cycles. Google Gemini and Claude trail at lower odds amid slower mobile adoption relative to ChatGPT's established user base. With July 31 just days away, traders are weighing last-minute ranking volatility from any final-week promotions or viral AI capability demos against historical patterns where OpenAI's app maintains strong free-download momentum.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 8:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT leads with 66.5% implied probability due to its consistent top-two positioning in recent US App Store charts, fueled by OpenAI's July 14 update enhancing search across chats and projects alongside sustained demand for large language model features. Shopping apps like Vinted and Depop hover near 50% on potential seasonal traffic spikes, while TikTok Pro - Events and Threads reflect platform-driven engagement cycles. Google Gemini and Claude trail at lower odds amid slower mobile adoption relative to ChatGPT's established user base. With July 31 just days away, traders are weighing last-minute ranking volatility from any final-week promotions or viral AI capability demos against historical patterns where OpenAI's app maintains strong free-download momentum.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 8:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

関連

icon for Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?

Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?

51%
icon for ChatGPTは7月24日に米国のApple App Storeで無料アプリ第2位になりますか？

ChatGPTは7月24日に米国のApple App Storeで無料アプリ第2位になりますか？

75%
はい
icon for Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?

85%

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「7月31日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか？」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ChatGPT」で68%、次いで「Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes」が50%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、68¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に68%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「7月31日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jul 24, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「7月31日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「7月31日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ChatGPT」で68%であり、市場がこの結果に68%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes」で50%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「7月31日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。