The S&P 500 trades near record levels around 7,755 after closing at a fresh high of 7,799 on August 13, supported by softer July CPI and PPI readings that have trimmed market-implied odds of a September Fed rate hike. With the policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75 percent, traders are pricing a greater chance of no change next month while still embedding one hike by year-end. Year-to-date gains near 13 percent reflect resilient corporate earnings and AI-related sector strength, though August’s historically muted seasonal pattern and this week’s releases—including Empire State manufacturing, housing starts, and import prices—could introduce volatility around key technical thresholds. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCosa colpirà l'S&P 500 (SPY) nella settimana del 17 agosto 2026?
↑ $810
2%
↑ $805
1%
↑ $800
1%
↑ $795
3%
↑ $790
6%
↑ $785
16%
↑ $780
41%
↓ $770
72%
↓ $765
47%
↓ $760
23%
↓ $755
11%
↓ $750
7%
↓ $745
5%
$9,851 Vol.
↑ $810
2%
↑ $805
1%
↑ $800
1%
↑ $795
3%
↑ $790
6%
↑ $785
16%
↑ $780
41%
↓ $770
72%
↓ $765
47%
↓ $760
23%
↓ $755
11%
↓ $750
7%
↓ $745
5%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 trades near record levels around 7,755 after closing at a fresh high of 7,799 on August 13, supported by softer July CPI and PPI readings that have trimmed market-implied odds of a September Fed rate hike. With the policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75 percent, traders are pricing a greater chance of no change next month while still embedding one hike by year-end. Year-to-date gains near 13 percent reflect resilient corporate earnings and AI-related sector strength, though August’s historically muted seasonal pattern and this week’s releases—including Empire State manufacturing, housing starts, and import prices—could introduce volatility around key technical thresholds. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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