Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

icon for Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

75% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
75% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify. A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify. This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.Banksy’s consistent output of authenticated street interventions supports the 76.5% market-implied probability for a new mural or artwork by December 31. The anonymous artist confirmed multiple pieces in 2025 and early 2026, including the September 2025 Royal Courts of Justice mural and a March 2026 stargazing children piece in London, often timed to current events and promoted via Instagram. Historical patterns show several releases per year, with additional unverified sightings and installations like the April 2026 Waterloo Place statue reinforcing expectations of continued activity in the remaining months. Traders weigh this track record against the possibility of a quiet period, though no extended gaps suggest a high likelihood of resolution in the affirmative before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify.

A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify.

This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify. A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify. This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Volume
$2,868
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 3:43 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify. A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify. This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.Banksy’s consistent output of authenticated street interventions supports the 76.5% market-implied probability for a new mural or artwork by December 31. The anonymous artist confirmed multiple pieces in 2025 and early 2026, including the September 2025 Royal Courts of Justice mural and a March 2026 stargazing children piece in London, often timed to current events and promoted via Instagram. Historical patterns show several releases per year, with additional unverified sightings and installations like the April 2026 Waterloo Place statue reinforcing expectations of continued activity in the remaining months. Traders weigh this track record against the possibility of a quiet period, though no extended gaps suggest a high likelihood of resolution in the affirmative before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify.

A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify.

This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify. A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify. This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Volume
$2,868
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 3:43 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

icon for Banksy pubblicherà su Instagram entro il 30 settembre?

Banksy pubblicherà su Instagram entro il 30 settembre?

27%
Sì
icon for Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per 150 milioni di dollari entro il 31 dicembre?

Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per 150 milioni di dollari entro il 31 dicembre?

62%
Sì
icon for Opera d'arte AI raggiunge i 10 milioni di dollari in una grande asta nel 2026?

Opera d'arte AI raggiunge i 10 milioni di dollari in una grande asta nel 2026?

13%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 75% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 75¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 75% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 1, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?" è 75% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 75% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.