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icon for Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per $150 milioni entro il 31 dicembre?

Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per $150 milioni entro il 31 dicembre?

icon for Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per $150 milioni entro il 31 dicembre?

Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per $150 milioni entro il 31 dicembre?

Sì

62% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

Sì

62% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".**Recent momentum in the top tier of the art market underpins the 62% market-implied odds for a $150 million-plus sale by year-end.** Multiple trophy works have already cleared this threshold, including Gustav Klimt’s *Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer* at $236.4 million in November 2025 and Jackson Pollock’s *Number 7A, 1948* at $181.2 million in May 2026, both from high-profile single-owner collections. These results, alongside a Brancusi record at $107.6 million and strong Impressionist/Modern performance, signal renewed depth among ultra-high-net-worth buyers. Fall marquee auctions at Christie’s, Sotheby’s, and Phillips—often boosted by additional single-owner dispersals—remain key catalysts, though the market’s heavy reliance on a narrow group of billionaires and variable supply of museum-quality pieces create realistic variance in outcomes before December 31. Traders appear to weigh the established precedent of nine-figure hammer prices against the possibility that no further qualifying lot surfaces in the final months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,585
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".**Recent momentum in the top tier of the art market underpins the 62% market-implied odds for a $150 million-plus sale by year-end.** Multiple trophy works have already cleared this threshold, including Gustav Klimt’s *Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer* at $236.4 million in November 2025 and Jackson Pollock’s *Number 7A, 1948* at $181.2 million in May 2026, both from high-profile single-owner collections. These results, alongside a Brancusi record at $107.6 million and strong Impressionist/Modern performance, signal renewed depth among ultra-high-net-worth buyers. Fall marquee auctions at Christie’s, Sotheby’s, and Phillips—often boosted by additional single-owner dispersals—remain key catalysts, though the market’s heavy reliance on a narrow group of billionaires and variable supply of museum-quality pieces create realistic variance in outcomes before December 31. Traders appear to weigh the established precedent of nine-figure hammer prices against the possibility that no further qualifying lot surfaces in the final months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,585
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

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Domande frequenti

"Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per $150 milioni entro il 31 dicembre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per 150 milioni di dollari entro il 31 dicembre?" a 62%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 62¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 62% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per $150 milioni entro il 31 dicembre?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 3, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per $150 milioni entro il 31 dicembre?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per $150 milioni entro il 31 dicembre?" è "Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per 150 milioni di dollari entro il 31 dicembre?" a 62%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 62% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per $150 milioni entro il 31 dicembre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.