US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled after the June memorandum of understanding missed its mid-August deadline for a final nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has stated that no talks or meetings are underway or scheduled, while Iranian officials insist the Strait of Hormuz stays closed until Washington lifts its naval blockade, sanctions, and threats. Tensions persist over implementation issues including Lebanon deconfliction, nuclear inspections, and Hormuz transit routes mediated previously by Qatar and Pakistan. With the August 31 window closing in days, trader focus centers on whether high-level US or Iranian representatives, or regional mediators, will convene before the cutoff or if the impasse continues amid ongoing sanctions and conflicting public positions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$96,959 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Nick Stewart
21%
Rafael Grossi
14%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
6%
Jared Kushner
4%
Ishaq Dar
4%
Steve Witkoff
4%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
4%
Abbas Araghchi
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
J.D. Vance
2%
Pete Hegseth
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
47%
$96,959 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
21%
Rafael Grossi
$886 Vol.
14%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,231 Vol.
6%
Jared Kushner
$14,141 Vol.
4%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 Vol.
4%
Steve Witkoff
$13,652 Vol.
4%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,315 Vol.
4%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,289 Vol.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,772 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$11,252 Vol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 Vol.
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
2%
Marco Rubio
$7,729 Vol.
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,781 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$695 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$688 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$7,171 Vol.
<1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$267 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled after the June memorandum of understanding missed its mid-August deadline for a final nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has stated that no talks or meetings are underway or scheduled, while Iranian officials insist the Strait of Hormuz stays closed until Washington lifts its naval blockade, sanctions, and threats. Tensions persist over implementation issues including Lebanon deconfliction, nuclear inspections, and Hormuz transit routes mediated previously by Qatar and Pakistan. With the August 31 window closing in days, trader focus centers on whether high-level US or Iranian representatives, or regional mediators, will convene before the cutoff or if the impasse continues amid ongoing sanctions and conflicting public positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$96,959Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled after the June memorandum of understanding missed its mid-August deadline for a final nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has stated that no talks or meetings are underway or scheduled, while Iranian officials insist the Strait of Hormuz stays closed until Washington lifts its naval blockade, sanctions, and threats. Tensions persist over implementation issues including Lebanon deconfliction, nuclear inspections, and Hormuz transit routes mediated previously by Qatar and Pakistan. With the August 31 window closing in days, trader focus centers on whether high-level US or Iranian representatives, or regional mediators, will convene before the cutoff or if the impasse continues amid ongoing sanctions and conflicting public positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$96,959Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled after the June memorandum of understanding missed its mid-August deadline for a final nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has stated that no talks or meetings are underway or scheduled, while Iranian officials insist the Strait of Hormuz stays closed until Washington lifts its naval blockade, sanctions, and threats. Tensions persist over implementation issues including Lebanon deconfliction, nuclear inspections, and Hormuz transit routes mediated previously by Qatar and Pakistan. With the August 31 window closing in days, trader focus centers on whether high-level US or Iranian representatives, or regional mediators, will convene before the cutoff or if the impasse continues amid ongoing sanctions and conflicting public positions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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