On September 8, 2026, trader sentiment for rain outcomes across cities is shaped primarily by short-range forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and global models, which highlight elevated precipitation probabilities in the southeastern U.S. and parts of Europe due to lingering moisture, afternoon instability, and frontal boundaries. Florida stations show 50-70% storm chances with humid southerly flow, while UK locations face 90+% rain likelihood from a moist southwest regime. In contrast, many Asian and western U.S. sites trend drier under partly cloudy or high-pressure patterns with isolated or low-probability showers. Key variables include model consensus on convective initiation timing, dew point thresholds supporting measurable accumulation (0.01 inches+), and any last-minute adjustments from updated runs before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove pioverà l'8 settembre?
New York, NY
15%
Los Angeles, CA
6%
Chicago, IL
25%
Houston, TX
26%
Dallas, TX
25%
Phoenix, AZ
14%
Philadelphia, PA
52%
Denver, CO
27%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
26%
Miami, FL
52%
Seattle, WA
26%
Boston, MA
26%
New Orleans, LA
69%
San Francisco, CA
27%
$615 Vol.
New York, NY
15%
Los Angeles, CA
6%
Chicago, IL
25%
Houston, TX
26%
Dallas, TX
25%
Phoenix, AZ
14%
Philadelphia, PA
52%
Denver, CO
27%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
26%
Miami, FL
52%
Seattle, WA
26%
Boston, MA
26%
New Orleans, LA
69%
San Francisco, CA
27%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...On September 8, 2026, trader sentiment for rain outcomes across cities is shaped primarily by short-range forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and global models, which highlight elevated precipitation probabilities in the southeastern U.S. and parts of Europe due to lingering moisture, afternoon instability, and frontal boundaries. Florida stations show 50-70% storm chances with humid southerly flow, while UK locations face 90+% rain likelihood from a moist southwest regime. In contrast, many Asian and western U.S. sites trend drier under partly cloudy or high-pressure patterns with isolated or low-probability showers. Key variables include model consensus on convective initiation timing, dew point thresholds supporting measurable accumulation (0.01 inches+), and any last-minute adjustments from updated runs before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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