Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance highlights scattered showers and thunderstorms as the main driver of precipitation odds for September 16, with elevated chances across the Southeast, Southwest, and parts of the Midwest due to a stalled frontal boundary and deep moisture. Model consensus shows 40-70% probabilities for measurable rain in areas like South Florida, central Arizona, and portions of the mid-Atlantic, while drier conditions prevail in the Pacific Northwest and northern Plains. Traders monitor updated short-range runs from the GFS and ECMWF for shifts in steering patterns or convective timing, as resolution hinges on official station totals exceeding zero inches. Historical September baselines indicate typical convective activity this time of year, with new 6-hour PQPF guidance expected to refine local probabilities ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove pioverà il 16 settembre?
New York, NY
22%
Los Angeles, CA
53%
Chicago, IL
75%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
8%
Phoenix, AZ
54%
Philadelphia, PA
24%
Denver, CO
44%
Washington, DC
24%
Atlanta, GA
24%
Miami, FL
45%
Seattle, WA
7%
Boston, MA
23%
New Orleans, LA
55%
San Francisco, CA
49%
$328 Vol.
New York, NY
22%
Los Angeles, CA
53%
Chicago, IL
75%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
8%
Phoenix, AZ
54%
Philadelphia, PA
24%
Denver, CO
44%
Washington, DC
24%
Atlanta, GA
24%
Miami, FL
45%
Seattle, WA
7%
Boston, MA
23%
New Orleans, LA
55%
San Francisco, CA
49%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance highlights scattered showers and thunderstorms as the main driver of precipitation odds for September 16, with elevated chances across the Southeast, Southwest, and parts of the Midwest due to a stalled frontal boundary and deep moisture. Model consensus shows 40-70% probabilities for measurable rain in areas like South Florida, central Arizona, and portions of the mid-Atlantic, while drier conditions prevail in the Pacific Northwest and northern Plains. Traders monitor updated short-range runs from the GFS and ECMWF for shifts in steering patterns or convective timing, as resolution hinges on official station totals exceeding zero inches. Historical September baselines indicate typical convective activity this time of year, with new 6-hour PQPF guidance expected to refine local probabilities ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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