President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s 2025 appointment of legal experts to draft a new charter, followed by June 2026 statements from the AKP and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş expressing optimism for adoption in 2026-2027, have kept the issue on the agenda. However, the process has not advanced to the parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement required under the current rules, which demand broad legislative support exceeding the ruling coalition’s reliable majority. With only months remaining before the December 31, 2026 deadline for market resolution and no scheduled referendum or final draft presented, traders view the timeline as unrealistic given the need for cross-party consensus or sufficient seats to bypass opposition. Historical patterns of extended constitutional negotiations in Turkey reinforce this assessment of limited near-term progress.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato10% probabilità
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30 dic 2026
10% probabilità
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30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s 2025 appointment of legal experts to draft a new charter, followed by June 2026 statements from the AKP and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş expressing optimism for adoption in 2026-2027, have kept the issue on the agenda. However, the process has not advanced to the parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement required under the current rules, which demand broad legislative support exceeding the ruling coalition’s reliable majority. With only months remaining before the December 31, 2026 deadline for market resolution and no scheduled referendum or final draft presented, traders view the timeline as unrealistic given the need for cross-party consensus or sufficient seats to bypass opposition. Historical patterns of extended constitutional negotiations in Turkey reinforce this assessment of limited near-term progress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$6,250Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s 2025 appointment of legal experts to draft a new charter, followed by June 2026 statements from the AKP and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş expressing optimism for adoption in 2026-2027, have kept the issue on the agenda. However, the process has not advanced to the parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement required under the current rules, which demand broad legislative support exceeding the ruling coalition’s reliable majority. With only months remaining before the December 31, 2026 deadline for market resolution and no scheduled referendum or final draft presented, traders view the timeline as unrealistic given the need for cross-party consensus or sufficient seats to bypass opposition. Historical patterns of extended constitutional negotiations in Turkey reinforce this assessment of limited near-term progress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,250Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s 2025 appointment of legal experts to draft a new charter, followed by June 2026 statements from the AKP and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş expressing optimism for adoption in 2026-2027, have kept the issue on the agenda. However, the process has not advanced to the parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement required under the current rules, which demand broad legislative support exceeding the ruling coalition’s reliable majority. With only months remaining before the December 31, 2026 deadline for market resolution and no scheduled referendum or final draft presented, traders view the timeline as unrealistic given the need for cross-party consensus or sufficient seats to bypass opposition. Historical patterns of extended constitutional negotiations in Turkey reinforce this assessment of limited near-term progress.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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