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icon for Tristan Buckmaster fa causa a OpenAI da...?

Tristan Buckmaster fa causa a OpenAI da...?

icon for Tristan Buckmaster fa causa a OpenAI da...?

Tristan Buckmaster fa causa a OpenAI da...?

NUOVO
30 set 2026
Polymarket

$6,554 Vol.

Polymarket

30 settembre 2026

$3,115 Vol.

11%

31 dicembre 2026

$3,438 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tristan Buckmaster’s public allegations of misconduct by OpenAI researchers form the main driver of trader sentiment on whether he files suit. The NYU mathematician and Anthropic collaborator Levent Alpöge claim their year-long AI-assisted work on Navier-Stokes fluid equations, including private Codex drafts, reached OpenAI shortly before the lab announced a parallel large-scale proof using similar techniques. Buckmaster has described pressure during calls with Sébastien Bubeck to exclude the Anthropic co-author from credit and implied career threats, prompting him to involve lawyers and go public in early September 2026. OpenAI and Sam Altman have rejected any data use or improper conduct, citing independent model results. The dispute highlights competitive AI lab tensions and questions over training data provenance, with no lawsuit filed as of mid-September and traders assigning low near-term odds of one by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,554
Data di fine
1 gen 2028
Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tristan Buckmaster’s public allegations of misconduct by OpenAI researchers form the main driver of trader sentiment on whether he files suit. The NYU mathematician and Anthropic collaborator Levent Alpöge claim their year-long AI-assisted work on Navier-Stokes fluid equations, including private Codex drafts, reached OpenAI shortly before the lab announced a parallel large-scale proof using similar techniques. Buckmaster has described pressure during calls with Sébastien Bubeck to exclude the Anthropic co-author from credit and implied career threats, prompting him to involve lawyers and go public in early September 2026. OpenAI and Sam Altman have rejected any data use or improper conduct, citing independent model results. The dispute highlights competitive AI lab tensions and questions over training data provenance, with no lawsuit filed as of mid-September and traders assigning low near-term odds of one by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,554
Data di fine
1 gen 2028
Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

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Domande frequenti

"Tristan Buckmaster fa causa a OpenAI da...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "31 dicembre 2026" a 16%, seguito da "30 settembre 2026" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 16¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 16% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Tristan Buckmaster fa causa a OpenAI da...?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 9, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Tristan Buckmaster fa causa a OpenAI da...?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Tristan Buckmaster fa causa a OpenAI da...?" è "31 dicembre 2026" a 16%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 16% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "30 settembre 2026" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Tristan Buckmaster fa causa a OpenAI da...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.