Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Sam Altman firma la dichiarazione Pacing the Frontier entro il 30 settembre?
Tecnologia·AI

Sam Altman firma la dichiarazione Pacing the Frontier entro il 30 settembre?

icon for Sam Altman firma la dichiarazione Pacing the Frontier entro il 30 settembre?
Tecnologia·AI

Sam Altman firma la dichiarazione Pacing the Frontier entro il 30 settembre?

Sì

10% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

Sì

10% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sam Altman has not signed the July 2026 “Pacing the Frontier” employee statement, which calls on the U.S. government to develop international tools for deliberately slowing automated frontier AI development if capabilities outpace oversight.** Despite OpenAI’s company-level endorsement and Altman’s recent public alignment with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s September essay on pacing—including commitments to embedded independent evaluators—Altman has stayed off the signatory list that includes other OpenAI leaders and rivals. With the September 30 deadline now under two weeks away and no reports of an imminent signature, traders see little catalyst for a last-minute change. Altman’s past caution around similar pause or slowdown letters reinforces the strong market-implied odds against him adding his name.

In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,679
Data di fine
1 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sam Altman has not signed the July 2026 “Pacing the Frontier” employee statement, which calls on the U.S. government to develop international tools for deliberately slowing automated frontier AI development if capabilities outpace oversight.** Despite OpenAI’s company-level endorsement and Altman’s recent public alignment with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s September essay on pacing—including commitments to embedded independent evaluators—Altman has stayed off the signatory list that includes other OpenAI leaders and rivals. With the September 30 deadline now under two weeks away and no reports of an imminent signature, traders see little catalyst for a last-minute change. Altman’s past caution around similar pause or slowdown letters reinforces the strong market-implied odds against him adding his name.

In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,679
Data di fine
1 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

icon for Elon Musk firma la dichiarazione Pacing the Frontier entro il 30 settembre?

Elon Musk firma la dichiarazione Pacing the Frontier entro il 30 settembre?

11%
Sì
icon for Stati Uniti e Cina concordano di rallentare lo sviluppo dell'IA nel 2026?

Stati Uniti e Cina concordano di rallentare lo sviluppo dell'IA nel 2026?

8%
Sì
icon for Microsoft annuncia una pausa nella formazione entro il 31 ottobre?

Microsoft annuncia una pausa nella formazione entro il 31 ottobre?

31%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Sam Altman firma la dichiarazione Pacing the Frontier entro il 30 settembre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Sam Altman firma la dichiarazione 'Pacing the Frontier' entro il 30 settembre?" a 10%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 10¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 10% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Sam Altman firma la dichiarazione Pacing the Frontier entro il 30 settembre?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Sam Altman firma la dichiarazione Pacing the Frontier entro il 30 settembre?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Sam Altman firma la dichiarazione Pacing the Frontier entro il 30 settembre?" è "Sam Altman firma la dichiarazione 'Pacing the Frontier' entro il 30 settembre?" a 10%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 10% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Sam Altman firma la dichiarazione Pacing the Frontier entro il 30 settembre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.