**Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen lead the implied probabilities at 21.5% and 18.6% respectively for the September 8 Titled Tuesday, reflecting their unmatched historical dominance in the weekly 11-round 5+0 blitz Swiss on Chess.com.** Recent off-season results show a wide distribution of winners—Hans Niemann took the September 1 event, Jan-Krzysztof Duda won August 25, and others including Alireza Firouzja, Arjun Erigaisi, Aleksei Sarana, and Denis Lazavik have claimed victories in the preceding months amid fields of 400–500+ titled players. The bunched probabilities below the top two stem from the event’s high variance: a deep pool of elite blitz specialists, Swiss pairing that rewards hot streaks over consistent favorites, and the fast time control that amplifies tactical swings and form fluctuations. Participation by top seeds, recent momentum, and tiebreak resilience further compress the field, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance in trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHikaru Nakamura 36%
Magnus Carlsen 18.6%
Aleksei Sarana 13%
Sina Movahed 9%
Hikaru Nakamura
22%
Magnus Carlsen
19%
Aleksei Sarana
13%
Sina Movahed
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Denis Lazavik
6%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Wesley So
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Volen Dyulgerov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Benjamin Bok
4%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
4%
Alexander Grischuk
4%
Andrey Esipenko
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Matthias Bluebaum
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Nihal Sarin
4%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
4%
Rasmus Svane
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
David Anton
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Awonder Liang
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Frederik Svane
4%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Christopher Yoo
4%
Parham Maghsoodloo
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Nikolas Theodorou
4%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
4%
Haowen Xue
3%
Sam Sevian
3%
Levon Aronian
3%
Rudik Makarian
3%
Jeffery Xiong
3%
Dmitry Andreikin
3%
Jules Moussard
3%
Bardiya Daneshvar
2%
Jose Martinez
2%
Faustino Oro
1%
Hikaru Nakamura 36%
Magnus Carlsen 18.6%
Aleksei Sarana 13%
Sina Movahed 9%
Hikaru Nakamura
22%
Magnus Carlsen
19%
Aleksei Sarana
13%
Sina Movahed
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Denis Lazavik
6%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Wesley So
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Volen Dyulgerov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Benjamin Bok
4%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
4%
Alexander Grischuk
4%
Andrey Esipenko
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Matthias Bluebaum
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Nihal Sarin
4%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
4%
Rasmus Svane
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
David Anton
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Awonder Liang
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Frederik Svane
4%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Christopher Yoo
4%
Parham Maghsoodloo
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Nikolas Theodorou
4%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
4%
Haowen Xue
3%
Sam Sevian
3%
Levon Aronian
3%
Rudik Makarian
3%
Jeffery Xiong
3%
Dmitry Andreikin
3%
Jules Moussard
3%
Bardiya Daneshvar
2%
Jose Martinez
2%
Faustino Oro
1%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen lead the implied probabilities at 21.5% and 18.6% respectively for the September 8 Titled Tuesday, reflecting their unmatched historical dominance in the weekly 11-round 5+0 blitz Swiss on Chess.com.** Recent off-season results show a wide distribution of winners—Hans Niemann took the September 1 event, Jan-Krzysztof Duda won August 25, and others including Alireza Firouzja, Arjun Erigaisi, Aleksei Sarana, and Denis Lazavik have claimed victories in the preceding months amid fields of 400–500+ titled players. The bunched probabilities below the top two stem from the event’s high variance: a deep pool of elite blitz specialists, Swiss pairing that rewards hot streaks over consistent favorites, and the fast time control that amplifies tactical swings and form fluctuations. Participation by top seeds, recent momentum, and tiebreak resilience further compress the field, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance in trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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