Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 61.6% implied probability after his prolific goalscoring at the recent World Cup in North America elevated his profile atop strong Bayern Munich form that delivered domestic dominance. Traders view the England captain's career-best campaign, including his status as the tournament's standout striker and all-time England World Cup scorer, as the decisive edge over rivals. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.1% on the back of Barcelona's continued success and Spain's campaign, while Rodri (7.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (7.2%) reflect consistent elite contributions without matching Kane's summer momentum. Market pricing incorporates these verified club and international results, with lower-priced names like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and others awaiting further standout performances to shift consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHarry Kane 61.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.1%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.2%
$28,572,614 Vol.
$28,572,614 Vol.
Harry Kane
62%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 61.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.1%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.2%
$28,572,614 Vol.
$28,572,614 Vol.
Harry Kane
62%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 61.6% implied probability after his prolific goalscoring at the recent World Cup in North America elevated his profile atop strong Bayern Munich form that delivered domestic dominance. Traders view the England captain's career-best campaign, including his status as the tournament's standout striker and all-time England World Cup scorer, as the decisive edge over rivals. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.1% on the back of Barcelona's continued success and Spain's campaign, while Rodri (7.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (7.2%) reflect consistent elite contributions without matching Kane's summer momentum. Market pricing incorporates these verified club and international results, with lower-priced names like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and others awaiting further standout performances to shift consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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