Rafael Fonteles, the incumbent PT governor of Piauí seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026 first-round contest due to sustained high approval ratings of 62-72% across recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys, reflecting broad support for his administration's performance. His candidacy was formally registered in July with a wide coalition including PT, PCdoB, PV, MDB, PSD, Republicanos, and PDT allies, bolstering organizational strength ahead of the vote. Opposition figures such as Joel Rodrigues (PP) trail significantly in polling at 20-25%, with all other registered candidates below 2%. Trader consensus at 98.7% for Fonteles aligns with these trends, though late shifts could arise from turnout variations, coalition fractures, or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRafael Fonteles 98.7%
Lourdes Melo <1%
Professor Gisvaldo <1%
Santiago Belizário <1%
$43,919 Vol.
$43,919 Vol.

Rafael Fonteles
99%

Lourdes Melo
<1%

Professor Gisvaldo
<1%

Santiago Belizário
<1%

Dott.ssa Lúcia Santos
<1%

Elizeu Aguiar
<1%

Geraldo Carvalho
<1%

Gustavo Feijó
<1%

Joel Rodrigues
<1%

Professor Jurity
<1%

Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%
Rafael Fonteles 98.7%
Lourdes Melo <1%
Professor Gisvaldo <1%
Santiago Belizário <1%
$43,919 Vol.
$43,919 Vol.

Rafael Fonteles
99%

Lourdes Melo
<1%

Professor Gisvaldo
<1%

Santiago Belizário
<1%

Dott.ssa Lúcia Santos
<1%

Elizeu Aguiar
<1%

Geraldo Carvalho
<1%

Gustavo Feijó
<1%

Joel Rodrigues
<1%

Professor Jurity
<1%

Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Rafael Fonteles, the incumbent PT governor of Piauí seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026 first-round contest due to sustained high approval ratings of 62-72% across recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys, reflecting broad support for his administration's performance. His candidacy was formally registered in July with a wide coalition including PT, PCdoB, PV, MDB, PSD, Republicanos, and PDT allies, bolstering organizational strength ahead of the vote. Opposition figures such as Joel Rodrigues (PP) trail significantly in polling at 20-25%, with all other registered candidates below 2%. Trader consensus at 98.7% for Fonteles aligns with these trends, though late shifts could arise from turnout variations, coalition fractures, or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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