Skip to main content
icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Politica·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Politica·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 52%

Elly Schlein 14%

Giuseppe Conte 13%

Silvia Salis 8.1%

Polymarket

$75,945 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni 52%

Elly Schlein 14%

Giuseppe Conte 13%

Silvia Salis 8.1%

Polymarket

$75,945 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$8,655 Vol.

52%

Elly Schlein

$5,675 Vol.

14%

Giuseppe Conte

$5,139 Vol.

13%

Antonio Tajani

$2,102 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Salvini

$3,330 Vol.

<1%

Guido Crosetto

$1,464 Vol.

<1%

Mario Draghi

$2,268 Vol.

2%

Silvia Salis

$8,526 Vol.

8%

Roberto Vannacci

$33,670 Vol.

8%

Matteo Renzi

$1,567 Vol.

1%

Angelo Bonelli

$1,722 Vol.

<1%

Carlo Calenda

$1,828 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni leads trader sentiment for Italy’s next prime minister due to her incumbency and Brothers of Italy’s position as the largest party ahead of the expected 2027 general election, which she has weighed advancing. Recent polling shows her coalition near but below a majority, pressured by economic headwinds and Roberto Vannacci’s rising Futuro Nazionale party splitting right-wing support. Elly Schlein’s Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte’s Five Star Movement trail as the main opposition alternatives, though center-left fragmentation limits their near-term prospects. Market pricing reflects these coalition dynamics and the absence of decisive shifts in parliamentary arithmetic or leadership challenges since mid-2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,945
Data di fine
31 dic 2028
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni leads trader sentiment for Italy’s next prime minister due to her incumbency and Brothers of Italy’s position as the largest party ahead of the expected 2027 general election, which she has weighed advancing. Recent polling shows her coalition near but below a majority, pressured by economic headwinds and Roberto Vannacci’s rising Futuro Nazionale party splitting right-wing support. Elly Schlein’s Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte’s Five Star Movement trail as the main opposition alternatives, though center-left fragmentation limits their near-term prospects. Market pricing reflects these coalition dynamics and the absence of decisive shifts in parliamentary arithmetic or leadership challenges since mid-2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,945
Data di fine
31 dic 2028
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Correlati

icon for Alexandru Nazare sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Romania?

Alexandru Nazare sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Romania?

48%
Sì
icon for Kyriakos Mitsotakis sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Grecia?

Kyriakos Mitsotakis sarà il prossimo Primo Ministro della Grecia?

78%
Sì
icon for Meloni fuori come Primo Ministro d'Italia entro il 31 dicembre?

Meloni fuori come Primo Ministro d'Italia entro il 31 dicembre?

8%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Next Prime Minister of Italy?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Giorgia Meloni" a 52%, seguito da "Elly Schlein" a 14%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 52¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ha generato $75.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 21, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Prime Minister of Italy?", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" è "Giorgia Meloni" a 52%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Elly Schlein" a 14%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.