Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Milan’s overnight low on September 16 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling under high humidity. These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 18–20 °C outcomes and the sharply lower implied probabilities for 15 °C or below. Historical September averages near 14–16 °C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors milder readings than climatology. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed evening temperatures above 21 °C, while acknowledging divergence in how much further cooling may occur before dawn.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Milano il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 16 settembre?
19°C 100.0%
13°C o inferiore <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$700 Vol.
$700 Vol.
16 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sì
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C o superiore
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C o inferiore <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$700 Vol.
$700 Vol.
16 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
$67 Vol.
No
14°C
$16 Vol.
No
15°C
$307 Vol.
No
16°C
$48 Vol.
No
17°C
$62 Vol.
No
18°C
$41 Vol.
No
19°C
$5 Vol.
Sì
20°C
$95 Vol.
No
21°C
$16 Vol.
No
22°C
$22 Vol.
No
23°C o superiore
$22 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Milan’s overnight low on September 16 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling under high humidity. These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 18–20 °C outcomes and the sharply lower implied probabilities for 15 °C or below. Historical September averages near 14–16 °C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors milder readings than climatology. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed evening temperatures above 21 °C, while acknowledging divergence in how much further cooling may occur before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$700Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Milan’s overnight low on September 16 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling under high humidity. These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 18–20 °C outcomes and the sharply lower implied probabilities for 15 °C or below. Historical September averages near 14–16 °C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors milder readings than climatology. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed evening temperatures above 21 °C, while acknowledging divergence in how much further cooling may occur before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$700Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Milan’s overnight low on September 16 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling under high humidity. These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 18–20 °C outcomes and the sharply lower implied probabilities for 15 °C or below. Historical September averages near 14–16 °C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors milder readings than climatology. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed evening temperatures above 21 °C, while acknowledging divergence in how much further cooling may occur before dawn.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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