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icon for Senato del Kansas e Governatore Combo
Politica·Elezione

Senato del Kansas e Governatore Combo

icon for Senato del Kansas e Governatore Combo
Politica·Elezione

Senato del Kansas e Governatore Combo

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 71%

I Dem vincono Governatore, i Rep vincono Senato 15%

Vittoria schiacciante dei Dem 9%

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il senato 5.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 71%

I Dem vincono Governatore, i Rep vincono Senato 15%

Vittoria schiacciante dei Dem 9%

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il senato 5.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani

$2,937 Vol.

71%

I Dem vincono Governatore, i Rep vincono Senato

$1,352 Vol.

15%

Vittoria schiacciante dei Dem

$79 Vol.

9%

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il senato

$89 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Republican structural advantages in Kansas, a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024, underpin the 71% trader consensus on a Republican sweep of the U.S. Senate and governor races on November 3. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall holds a modest polling edge over Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton following the August 4 primaries. In the open gubernatorial contest, Republican nominee Ty Masterson, backed by former President Trump, faces Democrat Cindy Holscher in a race where recent surveys show a near tie but fundamentals favor the GOP. Limited post-primary polling and the state's partisan baseline keep split outcomes at lower implied probabilities, with traders viewing coordinated Democratic wins as unlikely absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$4,458
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Republican structural advantages in Kansas, a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024, underpin the 71% trader consensus on a Republican sweep of the U.S. Senate and governor races on November 3. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall holds a modest polling edge over Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton following the August 4 primaries. In the open gubernatorial contest, Republican nominee Ty Masterson, backed by former President Trump, faces Democrat Cindy Holscher in a race where recent surveys show a near tie but fundamentals favor the GOP. Limited post-primary polling and the state's partisan baseline keep split outcomes at lower implied probabilities, with traders viewing coordinated Democratic wins as unlikely absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$4,458
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for I Democratici vinceranno le elezioni per il Governatore dell'Iowa e i Repubblicani vinceranno le elezioni per il Senato dell'Iowa?

I Democratici vinceranno le elezioni per il Governatore dell'Iowa e i Repubblicani vinceranno le elezioni per il Senato dell'Iowa?

46%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Michigan?

I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Michigan?

66%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Alaska?

I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Alaska?

47%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Senato del Kansas e Governatore Combo" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Vittoria totale dei repubblicani" a 71%, seguito da "I Dem vincono Governatore, i Rep vincono Senato" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 71¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Senato del Kansas e Governatore Combo" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 19, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Senato del Kansas e Governatore Combo", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Senato del Kansas e Governatore Combo" è "Vittoria totale dei repubblicani" a 71%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "I Dem vincono Governatore, i Rep vincono Senato" a 15%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Senato del Kansas e Governatore Combo" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.