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Politica·Elezione

Senato del Michigan e Governatore Combo

icon for Senato del Michigan e Governatore Combo
Politica·Elezione

Senato del Michigan e Governatore Combo

Vittoria a valanga dei Dem 56%

I Dem vincono il Governatore, i Rep vincono il Senato 34%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 11%

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il senato 3.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Vittoria a valanga dei Dem 56%

I Dem vincono il Governatore, i Rep vincono il Senato 34%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 11%

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il senato 3.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Vittoria a valanga dei Dem

$126 Vol.

56%

I Dem vincono il Governatore, i Rep vincono il Senato

$111 Vol.

34%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani

$445 Vol.

11%

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il senato

$631 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Michigan's 2026 open Senate and gubernatorial races remain closely contested in a swing state, with recent polling averages showing narrow margins between Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson and their Republican counterparts Mike Rogers and John James. The primaries concluded on August 4 with El-Sayed and Benson prevailing, leaving both general election matchups rated as toss-ups by multiple forecasters and reflecting balanced voter sentiment across key demographics and regions. Trader consensus on a Democratic sweep sits near even odds because neither party's ticket holds a decisive polling or fundraising edge, while split outcomes stay viable given historical ticket-splitting patterns and turnout variables in battleground contests. Upcoming factors such as fall debate performances, economic indicators, and national midterm dynamics could widen gaps by shifting independent voter preferences or altering base mobilization.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$1,313
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Michigan's 2026 open Senate and gubernatorial races remain closely contested in a swing state, with recent polling averages showing narrow margins between Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson and their Republican counterparts Mike Rogers and John James. The primaries concluded on August 4 with El-Sayed and Benson prevailing, leaving both general election matchups rated as toss-ups by multiple forecasters and reflecting balanced voter sentiment across key demographics and regions. Trader consensus on a Democratic sweep sits near even odds because neither party's ticket holds a decisive polling or fundraising edge, while split outcomes stay viable given historical ticket-splitting patterns and turnout variables in battleground contests. Upcoming factors such as fall debate performances, economic indicators, and national midterm dynamics could widen gaps by shifting independent voter preferences or altering base mobilization.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$1,313
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Correlati

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I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e per il Governatore del Maine?

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Sì
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41%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Senato del Michigan e Governatore Combo" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Vittoria a valanga dei Dem" a 56%, seguito da "I Dem vincono il Governatore, i Rep vincono il Senato" a 34%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 56¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 56% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Senato del Michigan e Governatore Combo" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 11, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Senato del Michigan e Governatore Combo", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Senato del Michigan e Governatore Combo" è "Vittoria a valanga dei Dem" a 56%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 56% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "I Dem vincono il Governatore, i Rep vincono il Senato" a 34%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Senato del Michigan e Governatore Combo" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.