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icon for Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?

Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?

icon for Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?

Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?

$1,160,104 Vol.

30 dic 2026
Polymarket

$1,160,104 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$102,688 Vol.

<1%

December 31

$322,815 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that under the June 26, 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement with Lebanon, the IDF would conduct limited pilot withdrawals from two small areas—one north of the Litani River recently captured and deemed non-essential, and one south of it—transferring them to Lebanese Armed Forces control as a test of conditions-based redeployment. The deal conditions any broader pullback from the expanded security zone, including territory beyond the Litani, on verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army deployment to prevent militant infrastructure, rather than a fixed timeline. Hezbollah rejected the accord as a sovereignty concession, while Israel has emphasized maintaining the buffer zone indefinitely until threats diminish. Ongoing strikes, Lebanese political divisions, and U.S.-facilitated coordination continue to shape implementation prospects through late 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,160,104
Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that under the June 26, 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement with Lebanon, the IDF would conduct limited pilot withdrawals from two small areas—one north of the Litani River recently captured and deemed non-essential, and one south of it—transferring them to Lebanese Armed Forces control as a test of conditions-based redeployment. The deal conditions any broader pullback from the expanded security zone, including territory beyond the Litani, on verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army deployment to prevent militant infrastructure, rather than a fixed timeline. Hezbollah rejected the accord as a sovereignty concession, while Israel has emphasized maintaining the buffer zone indefinitely until threats diminish. Ongoing strikes, Lebanese political divisions, and U.S.-facilitated coordination continue to shape implementation prospects through late 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,160,104
Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "December 31" a 11%, seguito da "August 31" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 11¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 11% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?" ha generato $1.2 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 7, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?" è "December 31" a 11%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 11% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "August 31" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.